THE RED NEW DEAL : China Leaving The Feckless West In The Dust


“All great nations, including China and India, view energy as a domain of power. The west already has their power, but no longer knows how to use it the way it did during the Cold War. Global warming, abortion, gay marriage, and renewables versus fossil fuels have overtaken realism in all facets of government, military strategy, economics and countering the global threats from China, Russia, Iran, Venezuela and North Korea.” – China And India Will Watch The West Destroy Itself – OpEd | Climatism

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H/t @WooSpry (Mum!)

WHILE the impotent and spoiled West concerns itself with knocking down monuments and promoting meaningless climate thresholds as its ’emissions’ obsessed leaders stumble around looking for non-existent net-zero pathways to their imaginary climate heaven, China continues its impressive growth strategy, strengthening its geopolitical and global advantage at frightening pace.

AND the greatest irony of all – China is doing all this on the back of an abundance of cheap, reliable thermal energy, namely coal-fired power. At the same time ratifying the Paris Climate Accord while accusing the USA of being “selfish” for wanting to burn coal! But, why wouldn’t they? The indolent Western mainstream media offers zero China pushback, ever.

HOW’s your Mandarin? Might be time to seriously consider enrolling the kids in lessons.

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BY Jim Jordan (No link to original source available. Received via email)

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CHINA Related :

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JOHN KERRY : ‘People Are Going To Die Because Of The Decision Trump Made’

John Kerry - FAKE NEWS - Climatism

John Kerry: ‘People are going to die because of the decision Trump made’ | US news | The Guardian


TRUMP Derangement Syndrome landed with a thud in the weekend Guardian featuring John Kerry and a healthy dose of obligatory Trump hate surrounding his smart move to pull out of the UN Paris Accord.

“You know what I’m angry about? People are going to die because of the decision Donald Trump made. My kids and my grandkids are going to face a difficult world because of what Donald Trump has done. But if you sound angry all the time, people aren’t going to listen to you.” – John Kerry

John Kerry: ‘People are going to die because of the decision Trump made’ | US news | The Guardian

KERRY’s ‘angry’ comments exemplify all that is lazy and deceitful with those prosecuting the flimsy case for catastrophic man-made global warming climate change. Hyper-alarmist opinions based on emotions, and in Kerry’s case – hate, rather than hard facts and evidence.

BUT, no one really expects the Guardian or Kerry to observe actual data, especially when it’s a high-fashion hit-piece on Trump and especially when their favourite pet theory, Climate Change is in play.

SO, once again it becomes the job of those outside of the Leftist mainstream media echo chamber to correct the record…

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US CO2 Emissions Falling Under Trump, While The World Increases

ACCORDING to the  latest energy report from The Energy Information Administration (EIA)under President Trump, per-capita carbon dioxide emissions are now the lowest they’ve been in nearly seven decades.”

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U.S. carbon dioxide emissions have steadily declined since 2008, when the fracking revolution dramatically and lowered natural gas prices. Low-priced natural gas can often outcompete coal on an economic front, while also cutting carbon dioxide emissions in half:

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THE U.S. emitted 15.6 metric tons of CO2 per person in 1950. After rising for decades, it’s declined in recent years to 15.8 metric tons per person in 2017, the lowest measured levels in 67 years:

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THE graph that climate alarmists and unreliable-energy rent seekers don’t want you to see:

BONUS Graphs:

IN absolute terms coal use has fallen far more in America this century than anywhere else:

coal-use-by-country

COAL use by country

MOST of the growth in CO2 emissions this century came from modernising economies. China and India dominated:

co2-growth-by-country

CO2 growth by country

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PARIS ACCORD – ‘BAD DEAL’

WHY would Trump have ever signed up to the latest UN wealth redistribution scheme when Europe, the epicentre of draconian climate change policy and green energy madness, cannot meet its own emissions ‘commitments’ despite spending hundreds of billions of taxpayer €Euros on failed ‘green’ energy?

EUROPE’S GREEN ENERGY FAILURE: CO2 EMISSIONS RISING

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ENERGIEWENDE FAIL: German CO2 Emissions Higher Now Than In 2009:

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GLOBAL CO2 EMISSIONS

GLOBAL CO2 emissions continue their steady climb, despite the trillions of dollars committed to green energy sources worldwide and efforts to curb CO2 emissions.

global-co2-emissions-2017-768x382

Source: International Energy Agency (IEA).

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BUT, AREN’T WIND AND SOLAR ‘POWER’ MEANT TO LOWER CO2 EMISSIONS?

URELIABLE-energy propagandists claim that wind, solar and other weather-dependent ‘energy’ sources will “Save The Planet” by lowering plant-food (CO2) emissions. But, the opposite is occurring…

WHY ARE CO2 EMISSIONS RISING WHEREVER ‘GREEN’ ENERGY IS PROLIFERATED?

ONE inconvenient reason for the rise in emissions, that you won’t hear reported on MSM news, ever :

“Adding More Wind And Solar Power Ultimately Raises CO2 Emissions, As More Fossil Fuel Backup Capacity Must Be Built”

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ENERGIEWENDE FAIL

WHAT’S happening in Germany is, unfortunately, a bellwether for what is to come in other large wealthy countries attempting to make renewables the kingpin of their power grids.

THE unspoken truth about renewables was succinctly summarized in a 2012 Los Angeles Times analysis :

“As more solar and wind generators come online, … the demand will rise for more backup power from fossil fuel plants.”

FULL article, entitled Rise in renewable energy will require more use of fossil fuels also points out that wind turbines often produce a tiny fraction (1 percent?) of their claimed potential, meaning the gap must be filled by fossil fuels:

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PEER-REVIEW

NEW PAPERS : Intermittent Wind Power PRESERVES & INCREASES Need For Fossil Fuel Energy Generation

⇑ Wind Power Installation Amplifies

The Growth Of Fossil Fuel Energies

[A]s RES [renewable energy sources] increases, the expected decreasing tendency in the installed capacity of electricity generation from fossil fuels has not been found.” – Marques et al., 2018
Wind Power Installation Amplifies The Growth Of Fossil Fuel Energies – Marques et al., 2018

Wind Power Installation Amplifies The Growth Of Fossil Fuel Energies – Marques et al., 2018

SEE : New Papers: Intermittent Wind Power PRESERVES & INCREASES Need For Fossil Fuel Energy Generation

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CONCLUSION

RATHER than blaming Trump for “blowing up the Paris deal” ergo, “causing people to die”, why doesn’t the rest of the world follow his lead and let technology and innovation reduce ’emissions’, rather than relying on green central planning, endless climate conferences, grandstanding global climate treaties, economy and job destroying carbon dioxide reduction schemes and never to forget costly, failed unreliables – wind and solar?

FAT chance that ever happening or admitting Trump was right, again.

BETTER to kick the climate can down the road and see how much more climate coin it spits out.

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H/t Tom Nelson

Cited charts : WUWT, Stop These Things, NoTricksZone, Paul Homewood

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SEE also :

Read the rest of this entry »


UN Carbon Regime Would Devastate Humanity And The Environment

Haiti - Dominican Republic BORDER - CLIMATISM

Disaster divided : Two countries, one island, life-and-death differences


WITHOUT access to fossil fuels, every tree on the planet would have been cut down by now to provide for heating, cooking and industry.

The greatest threat to the environment is not affluence, it is poverty.

Border between Haiti and Dominican Republic, a pristine example…

• One country embraces Fossil Fuels 🇩🇴

• The other, signed up to the UN Paris Accord 🇭🇹

Border Between Haiti and Dominican Republic - CLIMATISM

BORDER between Haiti and the Dominican Republic: Guess which country contains eco-criminals that can afford to use fossil fuels, and which country contains nature-lovers who are dependent on natural renewable organic biomass for energy?

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HAITI is almost 99% deforested, as they rely almost entirely on natural ‘biomass’ (wood) for domestic and industrial fuels and building materials.

On the other side, the forests of the fossil fuel burning, eco-terrorists – the Dominican Republic – remain lush and green :

Haiti - Dominican Republic BORDER3Haiti - Dominican Republic BORDER2Haiti - Dominican Republic BORDER5Haiti - Dominican Republic BORDER4

Haiti - Dominican Republic BORDER5 - NASA SAT

NASA Satellite : Haiti – Dominican Republic Border (CNN)

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PARIS ACCORD?

EMBRACE the UN’s draconian climate regulations by pursuing the mad rush into unreliables – wind and solar – and join Haiti in the race to energy poverty and environmental devastation.

Fuel-poverty stricken German’s are already robbing forests for wood to heat their homes in winter, unable to pay for radically priced ‘green’ energy :

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ENERGIEWENDE (‘Green’ Energy) FAIL

ADDING MORE SOLAR AND WIND ‘POWER’ INCREASES CO2 EMISSIONS…

“Adding More Wind And Solar Power Ultimately Raises CO2 Emissions, As More Fossil Fuel Backup Capacity Must Be Built”

GERMAN forest thievery began in 2013 when Energiewende was in its infancy.

THE Energiewende (German for energy transition) is “the planned transition by Germany to a low carbon, environmentally sound, reliable, and affordable energy supply” (wiki). 

AFTER hundreds of €BILLIONS of taxpayer’s hard-earned money spent on sunshine and breezes, Germany’s Energiewende program has been exposed as a catastrophic failure, with carbon dioxide emissions higher now than in 2009, the year before massively subsidised ‘green’ energy was signed into German law!

GERMAN emissions last year were actually higher than in 2009, and have been on the rise again since 2014.

NUCLEAR power is still supplying 12% of Germany’s power. When this is finally phased out in a few years time, the country will be more reliant on fossil fuels than ever :

GERMANY’S RECORD COAL BOOM

The ‘green’ dream is on ice as a ‘coal frenzy’ grips Europe and unreliables lose their attraction:

With Greenpeace successfully forcing the shutdown of nuclear power, and keeping out fracking for gas, what’s left? A boom in coal. In fact, over the next two years Germany will build 10 new power plants for hard coal.  Europe is in a coal frenzy, building power plants and opening up new mines, practically every month. It might sound odd that a boom in German coal is the result of Greenpeace’s political success. –Ezra Levant, Toronto Sun, 7 January 2014

RISING German Emissions – the numbers : 

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When will the ideological push for symbolic, costly, unreliable, unwanted, economically and environmentally destructive ‘green energy’ end?

All that pain, for ZERO gain!

Australia take note. Do not let recent history repeat.

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••• Read the rest of this entry »


SIGNING UP TO PARIS Would Have Prevented The 1500-Year-Long ‘Mega Drought’ That Killed Off Original Australians


THERE is no doubt that signing The Paris Climate Accord, carpeting pristine landscapes with Industrial Wind Turbines and Solar panels, energy poverty c/o skyrocketing NEG/RET power prices, ending capitalism and sending jobs and industries offshore to China (with Australia’s coal and uranium packed in the carry-on) would have prevented the 1500-year-long ‘Mega Drought’ that killed off original Australians…

Study suggests 1500-year-long ‘mega drought’ killed off original Australians

AUSTRALIA’S original inhabitants may have died-off during a 1500-year-long ‘mega drough’, new research suggests.

JANUARY 3, 201311:07AM

Researchers investigating rapid climate change in the Kimberley region found the intense drought coincided with the disappearance of a pre-Aboriginal style of rock paintings about 7000 years ago.

Ancient rock art from the region is divided into two distinctive styles: Gwion and Wandjina.

The Gwion rock-art style lasted some 10,000 years before the final image was painted. Wandjina paintings only appeared about 4000 years ago.

The study, sponsored by the Kimberley Foundation of Australia, for the first time offers an explanation for this 3000 year gap.

“The likely reason for the demise of the Gwion artists was a mega-drought spanning approximately 1500 years, brought on by changing climate conditions that caused the collapse of the Australian summer monsoon,” says associate professor Hamish McGowan of the University of Queensland’s School of Geography.

Researchers survey excavation sites of Gwion rock art in the north Kimberley. A sheer rock face is protected by a shallow overhang leaving a perfectly preserved Bradshaw or Gwion painting depicting unusually large figures.

GwionSource:Supplied

The study found the plant density and land surface had changed at this time, combining with increased dust in the air. The effect was the failure of monsoon rains – peaking about 5500 years ago.

“This confirms that pre-historic aboriginal cultures experienced catastrophic upheaval due to rapid natural climate variability,” he said.

“This is contrary to the conventional view that Australian Aboriginals lived a highly sustainable hunter-gatherer existence in which their knowledge of the landscape meant they adapted to climate variability with little impact.”

Wandjina painters appear to have only moved into the area after the climate again became more favourable about 4000 years ago.

The report, published in the American Geophysical Union Journal, was compiled by researchers from the University of Queensland, Central Queensland University and Wollongong University.

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MEANWHILE, Australia’s politicians and the Climate Crisis Industry are succeeding in destroying Australia’s economy through the stealth implementation of draconian climate change policy that they believe will future-proof Australia against bad weather and events like the current NSW drought, where some areas have not seen any decent rain for 2 years. 1,498 years less than when “rapid climate change” brought on Australia’s natural ‘Mega-Drought’ around 7,000 years ago.

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SEE also :

CLIMATE Science related :

CLIMATISM Hot Links :

ORIGINS Of The Global Warming Scam :

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Help us to hit back against the bombardment of climate lies costing our communities, economies and livelihoods far, far too much.

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PARIS Accord Based on Fraud

PARIS ACCORD FRAUD.png


Warming fears are the “worst scientific scandal in the history…When people come to 
know what the truth is, they will feel deceived by science and scientists.” – UN IPCC 
Japanese Scientist Dr. Kiminori Itohan award-winning PhD environmental physical
chemist.

“It is a blatant lie put forth in the media that makes it seem there is only a fringe of 
scientists who don’t buy into anthropogenic global warming.” – U.S Government
Atmospheric Scientist Stanley B. Goldenberg of the Hurricane Research Division of
NOAA.

“I am a skeptic…Global warming has become a new religion.” – Nobel Prize Winner for
Physics, Ivar Giaever.

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MUST READ information on the Paris Accord Fraud via Viv Forbes’  The Carbon Sense Coalition :

INTRO – Why Should Australia Pull Out Of The Paris Accord?

Quit Paris Treaty

Tony Abbott is right – Australia should quit the Paris Climate Treaty.China, India, Russia, Brazil, South Africa and Indonesia will ignore Paris. USA has already quit and Japan even withdrew from the Kyoto Treaty. Germany will fail to meet its obligations and Poland will not try very hard. France relies heavily on nuclear power and naturally supports imposing Paris handicaps on competitors.

And most of the rest of the world are just hanging in there hoping for a flood of cash from the climate compensation fund or from selling phony carbon credits.

Australia has huge coal, gas, oil and uranium resources. To export these, while we hobble our industries with windmill power, is insane.

Viv Forbes

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PARIS Accord Based on Fraud

By Brendan Godwin

Weather Observer and General Meteorology
Bureau of Meteorology
Mawson Antarctic 1974

The Paris Accord is based on fraud. Carbon Dioxide or CO2 is essential for all life on earth. Without it we are all extinct.

There is nothing unusual happing with the globe’s temperatures. No unusual warming.

Our interglacial warm period peaked 8,000 years ago and we are cooling. We’ve come to the end of this interglacial and are about to enter the next ice age. Humans can do nothing to stop that.

The globe has no temperature control knob, it is impossible for humans to control the globe’s temperature.

CO2 does not produce warming. There’s not enough of it to do anything.

It is warming that produces CO2. It is impossible for the cause to be the effect.

CO2 has lagged temperature by 1,000 years for the past 1 mil years and it has never stopped the earth from entering an ice age, even when it was 4,000 ppm.

CO2 is the gas of life. We need more not less of it and we should be regulating for more not less emissions. It is needed to grow our food crops.

Paris is based on IPCC reports. The IPCC rely on their GCM models. None of the models rely on past climate history but rather a mathematical theory based on refuted, negated, fake and fraudulent science. They all incorporate:

  • A “human fingerprint” or THS (Tropical Hot Spot) on the earth’s climate that doesn’t exist. IPCC’s AR2 report was fraudulently altered to remove scientific reports that were negative of their GHE definition;
  • Lewis Fry Richardson’s flawed atmospheric model equation;
  • Michael Mann’s fraudulent hockey stick graph in AR3;
  • Arrhenius’ flawed hypothesis of the greenhouse effect; Arrhenius invented heat from nothing.
  • The multiplier effect of water vapor feedback. The flawed CO2 increases water vapor hypothesis based on Arrhenius and the Charney report; From observations, water vapor is decreasing.
  • A corrupted peer review process.

Then back all this up by fraudulently altering the data to support the failed models that can’t even predict the last 30 years of hindsight. Read the rest of this entry »


Some Of The Loudest Backers Of Paris Climate Accords Are Bucking The Agreement

“THE stark reality is that healthier economies mean more energy use, and consequently, rising emissions (though not always). When economies were in a slump, it was easier to commit to emissions reductions. When countries’ economies began to grow, many saw emissions rise.

“…the Berlin-based organization Urgewald projects that 1,600 new coal-fired generating plants under construction or planned will result in 840,000 megawatts of new capacity.

“Germany, a world leader on climate action, has failed to cut emissions and has actually seen emissions rise during the past two years.

https://climatism.blog/2018/04/29/if-co2s-your-poison-renewable-energy-is-no-antidote/

PA Pundits International

By Nicolas Loris and Bryan Cosby ~

June 1 marks the first anniversary of President Donald Trump’s having begun the process of withdrawing the United States from the Paris climate accord.

Foreign leaders immediately criticized the decision. German Chancellor Angela Merkel called the decision to leave “extremely regrettable,” while the prime minister of Denmark, Lars Lokke Rasmussen, called the move “a sad day for the world.”

Most nations that signed the Paris climate accords will soon fail to meet their agreement-defined deadlines for fossil fuel reduction. (Photo: baona/Getty Images)

Trump justified the withdrawal by calling the situation “the latest example of Washington entering into an agreement that disadvantages the United States to the exclusive benefit of other countries.”

Trump was wrong. The climate accord is not just a bad deal for the U.S., but for all of the developed countries that have committed to higher energy…

View original post 669 more words


GREEN ENERGY FAIL : €Trillions Spent On #Unreliables In Europe Yet Emissions Keep Rising!

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CLIMATE change bedwetters love to trash Donald Trump for pulling out of the failed Paris Climate Treaty designed to lower CO2 emissions that are apparently causing dangerous global warming climate change.

HE has been labeled a “planet killer” amongst a plethora of standard smear and slime attacks aimed at anyone who dares question the veracity and motives of the $1.5TRILLION Climate Industrial Complex.

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WHERE Trump is 100% correct and the climate bedwetters 100% wrong is that US emissions have been falling, largely thanks to the shale gas boom.

THE graph climate alarmists and unreliable-energy rent seekers don’t want you to see:

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WHY on earth would Trump sign up to an economy and job-destroying Paris ‘deal’, when the two biggest ‘polluters’ on the planet – China and India – get a free pass to burn unlimited emissions until 2030?!

AND, why would Trump sign up to the latest UN wealth redistribution scam when Europe, the epicentre of punitive climate change policy and green energy madness, fail to meet their own emissions ‘commitments’ despite spending trillions of €uros of other peoples’ money on failed ‘green’ energy?

EUROPE’S GREEN FAILURE: CO2 EMISSIONS RISING

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BUT, AREN’T WIND AND SOLAR ‘POWER’ MEANT TO LOWER EMISSIONS?

URELIABLE-energy propagandists claim that wind, solar and other weather-dependent ‘energy’ sources will “Save The Planet” by lowering plant-food (CO2) emissions. But, the opposite is, in fact, occurring…

WHY?

ONE inconvenient reason for the rise in emissions, that you won’t hear reported on MSM news, ever, is because…

“Adding More Wind And Solar Power Ultimately Raises CO2 Emissions, As More Fossil Fuel Backup Capacity Must Be Built”

Source : IF CO2’s Your Poison, Renewable Energy Is No Antidote | Climatism

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CLIMATE bedwetters need to take a deep, hard look at themselves through the epicentre of green central planning and draconian climate change policy overreach – Europe – where despite spending literally trillions of €uros, of other peoples’ money, on unreliable-energy – wind and solar – emissions have been rising, not falling! Read the rest of this entry »


GAS (fossil fuels) needed for low-carbon targets says National Grid

AMUSES me every time: fossil fuels needed to reduce fossil fuel emissions to meet anti-fossil fuel Paris commitments. 🤦‍♂️

NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT

By Paul Homewood

Bit by bit, some reality appears to be intruding into the make believe world of the Climate Change Act:

image

No credible scenario’ exists for hitting the UK’s 2050 decarbonisation targets without continued reliance on gas, the National Grid has warned.

In a new report, entitled The Future of Gas: How gas can support a low carbon future’, the grid says that it is not feasible to switch over to electric heating on the scale required to reduce greenhouse gas emissions to 80 per cent of 1990 levels by the middle of this century.

To fill the gap required to meet peak heating demand during the winter with electricity would require a seven-fold increase in generation capacity.

It says that while electricity demand currently peaks at around 60 GW, up to 350 GW of electricity would be required during winter cold snaps.

“Electrifying heating would therefore require enormous…

View original post 451 more words


HOW Green Central Planning And Big Government Has Destroyed Australia’s Electricity Market

“We get a tax credit if we build a lot of wind farms. That’s the only reason to build them. They don’t make sense without the tax credit.” – Warren Buffett

“Suggesting that renewables will let us phase rapidly off fossil fuels in the United States, China, India, or the world as a whole is almost the equivalent of believing in the Easter Bunny and Tooth Fairy.” – James Hansen (The Godfather of global warming alarmism and former NASA climate chief)

Renewable energy technologies simply won’t work; we need a fundamentally different approach.” – Top Google engineers

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AUSTRALIA’S once key economic advantage and proud boast of having the cheapest power prices in the world has been sacrificed at the altar of climate change by its politicians’ obsession with global warming theory and subsequent mad rush into large-scale unreliable ‘energy’ sources – wind and solar.

BIPARTISAN appeasement to the UN climate gods has come at a major cost to Australian businesses and households, now exposed to some of the highest power prices in the world, South Australia officially the highest.

 

JUST as socialist central planning failed miserably before it was replaced by free market economies, green central planning will have to be discarded before Australia will see a return to energy security and competitive pricing.

TWO must read articles via the IPA and Australian columnist Chris Kenny, exposing the entirely man-made energy crisis that is crippling industry and eroding the living standards of everyday Australian’s…


Screen Shot 2018-04-07 at 6.01.16 am

The Destruction By Government Of Australia’s Electricity Market

Throughout the western world over the last 20-30 years in particular, we have witnessed the tightening hand of the state, which has become ever more bold in insisting where and how we live, who we can work for or employ, what we can say and think, whose car we can get into, whose home we can stay in, and what we’re allowed to put into our mouths.

But these remarks are about how government intervention has destroyed the electricity market in Australia and throughout much of the western world, and what it means for personal and economic liberty, now and in the future.

Let me start by outlining what a market should be, and how it should work with electricity.

A real market is simply a place where consumers and producers meet, and agree on a price and means to satisfy consumer demand.

A real electricity market is one open to all fuel technologies – coal, gas, uranium, wind, water or the sun. Where producers compete to grow market share and increase their profit based on efficient production, with all consumers – household and business – the winners.

Read the rest of this entry »


SCIENTISTS : Worst Climate Warnings ‘Will Not Come True’

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THE back-pedalling by climate ‘scientists’ continues as it becomes ever more obvious that their alarming projections have been deliberately exaggerated to push an agenda far removed from reality.

THE refined estimate of ECS (equilibrium climate sensitivity – the amount of warming that would occur if the concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere doubled) is even more significant considering that recent emissions of CO2 have been much greater than originally assumed, according to scientists.

LATEST findings are yet another blow to the “settled science” meme…

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Screen Shot 2018-01-23 at 8.21.31 am.png

Worst climate warnings ‘will not come true’

January 18 2018

Earth’s climate may be less sensitive to man-made emissions than previously feared, a study has found. It raises hopes that the worst predictions about global warming can be avoided.

It suggests that the target set in the Paris Agreement on climate change of limiting the average temperature increase to well below 2C is more achievable than some scientists have claimed.

Apocalyptic predictions that the world could warm by up to 6C by 2100 with devastating consequences for humanity and nature are effectively ruled out by the findings.

However, the study makes clear that steep reductions in emissions will still be needed to avoid dangerous climate change. It also concludes that the aspirational target in the 2015 Paris Agreement of limiting warming to 1.5C is less likely to be achieved.

The study, published in the journal Nature, refines previous estimates of how sensitive the climate is to carbon dioxide by considering the historical variability in global temperature.

It focuses on the key measure, known as equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS), which is used by climate scientists to make predictions. ECS is the amount of warming that would occur if the concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere doubled.

The concentration has already increased by about 50 per cent since pre-industrial times, from 270 parts per million (ppm) to 403ppm.

The UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, a scientific body which advises governments, gives a range for ECS of 1.5–4.5 degrees C. The new study narrows this range to 2.2–3.4C.

Peter Cox, professor of climate system dynamics at the University of Exeter and lead author of the paper, said his team had “squeezed both ends” of the range presented by the IPCC.

“We can rule out very low climate sensitivities that might imply you don’t need to do very much at all but also very high climate sensitivities that would be very difficult to adapt to.

“That’s useful because it gives policymakers and people an idea of what they have got to deal with and they can make decisions on that basis.”

Mr Cox said his study showed there was less need to worry about apocalyptic visions of the future, such as those presented in the 2007 award-winning science book Six Degrees – Our Future on a Hotter Planet, which had an image on the cover of a tidal wave breaking over Big Ben.

“The very high warming rates are looking less likely so that’s good news,” he said.

“Unless we do something bizarrely stupid, we are not looking at catastrophic climate change.

“But I wouldn’t want people to think we don’t need to act. It means that action is worthwhile. We can still stabilise the system if we choose to do so.

“We are definitely up against it but we aren’t in a position where we are talking about such large climate changes that we are just messing around on the decks of the Titanic. We know better now, I hope, from our work what we have got to do.”

He said his study showed the 2C target set in Paris was “still just about achievable” but limiting warming to 1.5C in the long term could only be achieved by “overshooting” and then somehow reducing the temperature using futuristic technology, such as artificial trees which suck CO2 out of the atmosphere.

Piers Forster, director of the Priestley International Centre for Climate at the University of Leeds, said the study “confirms that we will see significantly more warming and impacts this century if we don’t increase our ambition to reduce CO2 emissions; but the possibility of 6 degrees or more warming with associated devastating impacts can perhaps begin to be ruled out”.

Worst climate warnings ‘will not come true’ | News | The Times & The Sunday Times

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Climatism Related :

ECS Related :