COP 27 Ends With Unrealistic Declarations

Don’t they all end with “unrealistic declarations” so they allow room for themselves for the next COP, and the next, and the next…?

Why solve a ‘problem’ when the problem is the solution?

“The Conference of the Parties…Highlights that about USD 4 trillion per year needs to be invested in renewable energy up until 2030 to be able to reach net zero emissions by 2050.”

Rinse and repeat…

🤡🌎

PA Pundits - International

By Dr. Jay Lehr and Steve Goreham ~

Therefore it is really time for us all to stop taking any of the information broadcast out of the annual United Nations climate conferences called Conference Of The Parties seriously. The 27th such conference which convened in Egypt this month concluded with the following statement.

The Conference of the PartiesHighlights that about USD 4 trillion per year needs to be invested in renewable energy up until 2030 to be able to reach net zero emissions by 2050.” That which would eliminate all life on earth that depends on carbon dioxide which is all life on earth.

This does not include reparations for loss and damage. That potentially much greater financial flow (as it is called in UN speak) is extra.

The precise nature of this called for transformation of the financial system is not specified but easy money seems…

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Snow Fall Extent in the Northern Hemisphere is the Highest in 56 Years

“Global Warming” gives you a licence to lie.

❄️“END of Snow?” @NYTimes (2014)
❄️“RESORTS could lose up to 40% of snow by 2020” @CSIRO (2003)
❄️SNOW “will become a very rare and exciting event. Children just aren’t going to know what snow is” Dr. David Viner (2000)
❄️“DECREASE heavy snowstorms” @IPCC_CH (2001)
https://climatism.wordpress.com/2019/11/18/snowfall-will-signal-the-death-of-the-global-warming-movement-climatism/

Climate Change Sanity

The severe weather forecast Europe says we are likely to have a cold early winter.  The blog authored by Renato R Colucci, makes these forecasts: (click to enlarge charts)

“Snow Extent in the Northern Hemisphere now Among the Highest in 56 years Increases the Likelihood of Cold Early Winter Forecast both in North America and Europe.”

“Snow extent in the Northern Hemisphere at the end of November represents an important parameter for the early winter forecast. This year snow extent is running much higher than average and according to existing global estimates, it is now beyond the highest ever observed so far. Winter forecast, especially in its early phase and in Europe, might be strongly influenced by such a large snow extent, although many other factors need attention.”  (My emphasis on sentence,)

The posting also shows that fall snow extent is increasing lately. The following charts show the trend.

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Oh, Just a November Aussie Avalanche!

Snowfall will become “A very rare and exciting event…
Children just aren’t going to know what snow is.”
Dr David Viner – Senior scientist, climatic research unit (CRU)

“Resorts could lose up to 40% of snow by 2020” @CSIRO (2003)

“Winters with strong frosts and lots of snow
like we had 20 years ago will no longer exist at our latitudes.” 
– Professor Mojib Latif (2000)

“Good bye winter. Never again snow?” – Spiegel (2000)

“Milder winter temperatures will decrease heavy snowstorms” – IPCC (2001)

“End of Snow?” – NYTimes (2014)

H/t @Bergeonline

“It’s safe to say we’ve seen it all now.”

This is how WeatherZone.com–unlikely sceptics of the Catastrophic Anthropogenic Global Warming (CAGW) religion–opened their article reporting on extremely rare, if not unheard of, avalanches in Victoria in November.

Their overt surprise not out of context.

Climate models from the 1970s have consistently predicted that CO2-induced global warming climate change should be causing a significant decline in total snow cover. However, global snow cover has actually increased since at least the start of the record (Connolly et al., 2019), leading to some scepticism within the scientific community about the validity of UN IPCC climate models that directly drive costly global warming climate change catastrophism.

Perhaps that same healthy scepticism may well increase, amongst academics and mainstream media institutions, thanks to global warming climate change narrative-contradictions like ‘Avalanches in Victoria in November!’

Though, don’t hold your breath. The ClimateChange™️ eco-scare is strong and will not die quickly. Too many jobs, reputations, taxpayer trillions, and egos are now at stake.

From WeatherZone :

Oh, just a November Aussie avalanche

ANTHONY SHARWOOD, 03 NOV 2022, 10:38 AM AEDT

It’s safe to say we’ve seen it all now.

We’ve seen snow fall in late spring and even in summer on the Australian mainland. We’ve also seen Aussie winter snow so heavy that it caused avalanches – a hazard more commonly associated with much more mountainous countries, but which does happen here. There have even been fatalities over the years.  

READ MORE: Our story on Victorian avalanches after this year’s heavy June snowfalls 

But we’ve never seen an out-of-season snowfall with heavy enough accumulation to cause a significant snow slide. Until now.

Snowy Mountains local Steve Smith (not a great cricketer but definitely a better skier than his famous namesake) got up early on Wednesday morning to take advantage of the unseasonable snowfalls, which you can read about here and here.

No ski lifts are open at this time of year, so he drove up towards the Charlotte Pass ski resort, where he hiked up the slopes of Mt Guthrie to earn a few turns on about 30 to 40 cm of fresh November snow.

Image: Avalanches were definitely not on our weather bingo card for Novrmber. Source: Steve Smith.

That’s when trouble struck. As he started skiing down, the snowpack broke away from itself and started sliding in large chunks, triggered by his skis. Look carefully and you can see his tracks to the right of the slide in the image above.

Below is a shot of the same slide from a different angle.

Image: Stay safe out there, folks, this can happen to you. Source: Steve Smith.

Frighteningly, Steve was caught in the slide but as he told Weatherzone, “I just relaxed and rode it out for a few seconds. No big deal. Pretty gentle terrain in there.”

For the record, Steve is an experienced back country skier who has had avalanche training. He skis with a full safety kit, and so should you if you ever venture out to the back country in any season.

But it was still a lucky escape, as avalanches can bury you even on gentle terrain like the terrain in the images above.

“Take care out there,” Steve warned his fellow back country adventurers who will doubtlessly be heading out in flocks in coming days before this November snow melts.

“Out on the higher alpine terrain, I reckon the avalanche risk is real for a few days till it settles down.”

Image: Same avvy, from a slightly different angle. Source: Steve Smith.

If you do happen to be heading to the high country of Victoria and NSW this weekend for any reason, the forecast is for cool, partly cloudy weather with the chance of a light shower or two (of rain, not snow), especially on Sunday.

Oh, just a November Aussie avalanche | WeatherZone

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Related :


Great Barrier Reef Coral Cover Hits Record Levels For Second Year

Why is the great news that the Barrier Reef is in top condition, with record coral cover, being ignored by the MainstreamMedia™️?

With the daily and constant lecturing and hectoring about the supposed “climate catastrophe/crisis/emergency”, shouldn’t they be ringing the bells and dancing in the street?

The fact that they are not, and remain largely silent about Reef health, stands as more conclusive proof that ClimateChange™️ has absolutely nothing to do with the environment or “saving the planet” rather a wicked tool to justify complete power and control over every aspect of your life and lifestyle. Aka, global-communism.

Tallbloke's Talkshop

Great Barrier Reef, Australia [image credit: BBC]
Dr. Peter Ridd writes: ‘The three or four bleaching events since 2016, which have been widely reported in the media, could not have killed much coral, otherwise the 2022 statistics would not be so good.’
Time to dial down the tedious climate alarmism on this.

– – –
Official data released today reveals that Australia’s Great Barrier Reef is in excellent health, with coral cover reaching record levels for the second consecutive year, says Climate Change Dispatch.

The increase will be surprising to members of the public, who are regularly hit with scary stories about coral bleaching and false tales about a reef in long-term decline.

A new note, published today by the Global Warming Policy Foundation, explains that the data shows clearly how a handful of coral bleaching events that have affected the reef since 2016 have had a very limited…

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Small Modular Reactors Advance In The Nuclear World

“An HTMR-100 cannot melt down. If the worst possible event were to occur, the reactor will just shut itself down. If all cooling stops, the reactor will heat up a bit for 24 hours and then over the next 4 to 5 days will just cool down with no incident. That is ‘walk away safe’.”

“Nuclear power is the future of mankind. The world’s electricity insecurity experienced since 2020 has shown the way forward with great clarity.”

Hear, hear.

Furthermore, nuclear is the only known efficient, reliable, continuous and truly ‘green’ energy technology:

• Zero CO2 emissions, if you believe that invisible trace gas and plant food CO2 is destroying the planet.

• Zero particulate (smog) pollution.

• The least land-intensive energy technology for both plant exposure and the mining required for key resource uranium.

• ~60 year lifespan.

A win, win for both the environment and for humanity.

PA Pundits - International

By Dr. Kelvin Kemm ~

The first two decades of the 21st Century will go down in history as a time of amazing world confusion about energy supplies, particularly electricity.

This is all due to electricity planning being done too much at a political policy level, and not by engineers and scientists. This in turn was linked to an inordinate fear of supposed man-induced climate change linked to fossil fuels, primarily driven by extreme green activist groups. Sadly, much scientific logic was trampled under the feet of street demonstrators, clamoring for Mother Nature’s natural energy: wind and solar.

The result has been soaring electricity prices in many countries, and power shortages leading to blackouts, resulting in major economic and social upheaval.

There has also been significant interference from European countries in the affairs of African and other countries around the world, insisting that developing countries adapt their energy usage…

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Astronomers surprised by ‘dramatic warming’ at  Neptune’s south pole

How many EVs needed to fix Neptune, then? 🤔

Tallbloke's Talkshop

Neptune
Planetary temperature conundrums are not confined to Earth. Nobody foresaw the observed changes that occurred on Neptune between 2018 and 2020.
– – –
An international team of astronomers have used ground-based telescopes, including the European Southern Observatory’s Very Large Telescope (ESO’s VLT), to track Neptune’s atmospheric temperatures over a 17-year period, Phys.org.

They found a surprising drop in Neptune’s global temperatures followed by a dramatic warming at its south pole.

“This change was unexpected,” says Michael Roman, a postdoctoral research associate at the University of Leicester, UK, and lead author of the study published today in The Planetary Science Journal. “Since we have been observing Neptune during its early southern summer, we expected temperatures to be slowly growing warmer, not colder.”

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UN Secretary General claims use of fossil fuels will lead to ‘mutually assured destruction’

Bahahahaha!

Like the entire #UkraineRussiaWar (real-energy War) isn’t a result of the indolent West’s capitulation to UNreliable ‘green’ energy ideology and it’s, subsequent, TOTAL dependence on Russian fossil-fuels!

Cognitive dissonance on steroids.

Though, completely unsurprising. And, completely by design.

Grrr.

Tallbloke's Talkshop

Coal-hungry China [image credit: democraticunderground.com]
More doom-laden propaganda, pretending climate theories are facts and so on.
– – –
The UN Secretary General says the rush to use fossil fuels because of the war in Ukraine is “madness” and threatens global climate targets.

The invasion of Ukraine has seen rapid rises in the prices of coal, oil and gas as countries scramble to replace Russian sources, says BBC News.

But Antonio Guterres warns that these short-term measures might “close the window” on the Paris climate goals.

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Arctic winter 2022 sea ice only 10th-lowest on the 43-year satellite record

Steady as she goes. Hardly the ‘crisis’ that they belt us all around with 24/7.

Tallbloke's Talkshop

Sea ice optional [image credit: BBC]
Not an indicator of supposedly dire global warming this season then? Groans from climate obsessives perhaps. Nothingburgers all round.
– – –
Arctic sea ice appeared to have hit its annual maximum extent on Feb. 25 after growing through the fall and winter, says NASA (via Phys.org).

This year’s wintertime extent is the 10th-lowest in the satellite record maintained by the National Snow and Ice Data Center, one of NASA’s Distributed Active Archive Centers.

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Arctic Ice Maxing in January

Inconvenient data for Arctic sea-ice that was meant to have “disappeared” long ago!

Arctic ice dud-predictions, here : https://climatism.wordpress.com/2019/01/25/climate-dud-predictions-ice-free-arctic-prophesies-by-the-97-consensus-and-compliant-mainstream-media/

Science Matters

Previous posts reported how Arctic ice was growing faster than average as well as last year.  Remarkably, several regions have already exceeded their maximum ice extents last March, and overall, Arctic ice is 98% of 2021 maximum with six weeks of freezing season remaining.

The animation shows ice growing the second half of January, notably reaching 1.32M km2 in Baffin Bay, right center, exceeding 2021 max.  Greenland Sea, center top, added 144k km2 to reach 710k km2, also greater than last year’s max.  And at bottom left Bering Sea reached 741k km2, 116% of last years max.

This year began with a surplus and ended January still 230k km2 higher.  The gap over 2021 is 465k km2, nearly half a Wadham. SII dipped and then rose to match MASIE before a drop yesterday.

Region2022031Day 31 Average2022-Ave.20210312022-2021
 (0) Northern_Hemisphere145990791436839623068314133494465586
 (1) Beaufort_Sea

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Global Warming Bombshell : Science Magazine Article Blows The Whistle On Climate Model Failure

“When the heart rules the head,
passion takes over reason.”

– Ortega y Gasset

“What gets us into trouble is not what we don’t know,
it’s what we know for sure that just ain’t so.”
– Mark Twain

“Blind trust in authority
is the greatest enemy of the truth.”

– Albert Einstein

“It’s like the boy who repeatedly cried wolf.
If I observe many successive forecast failures,
I may be unwilling to take future forecasts seriously.

– David C. Rode et al, Apocalypse now Communicating extreme forecasts, International Journal of Global Warming (2021)

“The ‘problem’ is not only that all of the expired forecasts were wrong,
but also that so many of them never
admitted to any uncertainty about the date.”

– David C. Rode et al, Apocalypse now Communicating extreme forecasts, International Journal of Global Warming (2021)

•••

Take a bow, climate realists!

They – the scientific ‘experts’, power-obsessed politicians, globalist elites, the useful idiots, and the UNreliables grifters were wrong, while you were right, all along.

The world recently witnessed how alarmist, Imperial College COVID-19 model predictions inspired mass-global-hysteria, leading to overreaching and draconian (global) government ‘health’ edicts with the resulting economic, social and mental health fallout arguably far worse than the disease itself.

Now, the world is finally being told the truth about the 32+ “cooked” UN IPCC climate models that have single-handedly driven the most egregious and costly pseudoscientific campaign of fear and alarmism ever perpetrated upon mankind.

Misguided climate hysteria that has failed time-and-time-again to match real-world evidence and observed data.

Relentless mainstream-media-driven hysteria, based on biased UN model predictions, has fuelled a relentless tidal wave of unhinged activism, devouring; every last respectable public institution, otherwise intelligent minds, and worst of all, the taxpayer’s hard-earned-money at a rate of 1.4 trillion dollars per year, or 4.5 billion dollars per day, according to a 2015 article by Climate Change Journal.

However, have cooler heads finally prevailed from, of all places, the head of the most ‘revered’ and influential of all the many taxpayer funded ‘climate’ institutions?

This weeks bombshell climate-model-mea-culpa delivered by none other than the head of NASA (GISS) Climate, Gavin Schmidt, a chief architect of global-climate-alarmism. 

Read it and weep, climate crazies.

(Climatism bolds)

Leading climate scientists conceded that models used to estimate how much the world will warm with rising levels of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere are running too hot.

“It’s become clear over the last year or so that we can’t avoid this,” Gavin Schmidt, director of NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies, told Science ­magazine.

The admission is seen as a significant development by scientists who argue that not enough attention has been paid to natural ­cycles in the earth’s climate.

It puts another question mark over the use of the most extreme scenarios generated by models, RCP8.5, to estimate what could be expected in a warming world.

The concession has been made on the eve of this month’s release of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s report on the science of climate change.

That report, delayed a year ­because of Covid-19, is due to be released on Aug­ust 9 and will outline what can be expected with different levels of warming.

It will play a major role in ­preparations for the upcoming ­climate change summit in ­Glasgow, Scotland, in November.

A Science article published this week said climate scientists faced the alarming reality that “climate models that help them project the future have grown a little too alarmist”.

“Many of the world’s leading models are now projecting warming rates that most scientists, ­including the model makers themselves, believe are implausibly fast”, the article said.

“In advance of the UN report, scientists have scrambled to understand what went wrong and how to turn the models, which in other respects are more powerful and trustworthy than their predecessors, into useful guidance for policymakers.”

In the past, most models projected a “climate sensitivity” – the warming expected when atmospheric carbon dioxide is doubled over pre-industrial times – of ­between 2C and 4.5C.

Last year, a landmark paper that used documented factors including ongoing warming trends calculated a likely climate sensitivity of between 2.6C and 3.9C but many of the new models from leading centres showed warming of more than 5C – uncomfortably outside these bounds.

The models were also out of step with records of past climate.

According to Science, the IPCC team will probably use ­reality – the actual warming of the world over the past few decades – to constrain model projections.

The IPCC report is also likely to present the impacts of different amounts of warming – 2C, 3C, 4C – rather than saying how quickly those impacts will be felt.

Steve Sherwood from the UNSW Climate Change Research Centre said “while it is true some new climate models have surprising climate sensitivities and predict very high future warming, what doesn’t always come through is that most new models have sensitivity values within the range estimated from observations”.

“Those models still predict substantial future weather and climate changes due to carbon dioxide, similar to predictions made by the science community for many years,” Professor Sherwood said.

US climate scientist Judith Curry said the IPCC report would certainly discuss the problem with climate models: “The elephant in the room for the IPCC is they are heavily relying on RCP8.5 emissions scenarios, which are now widely regarded as implausible.”

Michael Asten, an expert reviewer of the IPCC’s AR6 report, said the admission that climate models were running hot was a significant concession.

GRAHAM LLOYD

ENVIRONMENT EDITOR

Graham Lloyd is a fearless reporter of all sides of the environment debate. A former night editor, chief editorial writer and deputy business editor with The Australian, Graham has held senior positions nationa… Read more

Via : Climate change: Science magazine article blows the whistle on model failure | The Australian

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See also :

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