Steyn et al. versus Mann

Climate Etc.

by Judith Curry

Some significant developments in various lawsuits involving Michael Mann

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Flannery still pushing alarmist bullshit

Flannery Claim : Unprecedented (October) Australian Bushfires http://wp.me/p3Bc8A-Ew

(Alarmist BS)

Australian Climate Madness

At least the Climate Council is not being paid for by the taxpayer, so he can say what he likes.

Mammalogist Failed End-of-the-Pier fortune teller Tim Flannery is up to his old tricks, spouting alarmist claptrap about bush fires:

In October, huge bushfires devastated communities, property and livelihoods in the Blue Mountains, west of Sydney. Tragically, two lives were lost. As the Climate Council’s first major report makes clear, our changing climate is increasing the chances of similar events in future.

Yes, bushfires are part of the Australian experience, but large and severe bushfires in October are unusual.

There has been considerable discussion in the media around the link between climate change and bushfires. So let’s get the facts straight.

Hot, dry conditions create conditions favourable for bushfires. Australia has just experienced its hottest 12 months ever recorded, and September 2013 was the hottest September on record. (source

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How About “Total Buffoon?”

Climatism comment :

It should read:

Dr. Hansen is also the man who has probably done more to corrupt climate science than any other living human being.

And while he is occasionally given to rewriting temperature history, his concerns are based on a lifetime of rigorous atmospheric fraud that has helped to define modern climatology.

In short, his views should be afforded, at the very least, a decent respect by prison wardens and inmates alike.

Real Science

Dr. Hansen is also the man who has probably done more to put global warming on the global agenda than any other living human being.

And while he is occasionally given to rhetorically jumping the shark, his concerns are based on a lifetime of rigorous atmospheric research that has helped to define modern climatology.

In short, his views should be afforded, at the very least, a decent respect by critics and admirers alike.

The Hansen letter

 

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Sleepwalking to extinction, or maybe communism?

The only way to get our society to truly change is to
frighten people with the possibility of a catastrophe
.
– 
emeritus professor Daniel Botkin

The emerging ‘environmentalization’ of our civilization
and the need for vigorous action in the interest of the entire global
community will inevitably have multiple political consequences.
Perhaps the most important of them will be a gradual change
in the status of the United Nations. Inevitably, it must
assume some aspects of a world government.

– Mikhail Gorbachev,
State of the World Forum

We are on the verge of a global transformation.
All we need is the right major crisis
…”
– David Rockefeller,
Club of Rome executive member

The Earth has cancer
and the cancer is Man
.”
– Club of Rome,
premier environmental think-tank,
consultants to the United Nations

•••

Post by Joanne Nova discussing eco-nut Richard Smith’s latest Marxist musing. A piece that demonstrates the poisonous ideology and misanthropic zeal that lies at the very heart of the “climate change” debate.

green-agenda

via JoanneNova.com.au

Sleepwalking to extinction, or maybe communism?

From Sleepwalking to Extinction. Climate Madness is coming, and to save us Richard Smith says we need an eco-socialist civilization! Jo Nova thinks we need people who can add up numbers.

Capitalism and the destruction of life and earth

Super Typhoon Haiyan has sent a chill through the global nervous system. Thousands dead. Weather scientists in shock. Lives destroyed. The greatest typhoon to touch land in recorded history brings with it more than total destruction. It ups the level of urgency for a new economic paradigm … one that puts the planet first. Radical economist Richard Smith shows us a way out of the “climate madness” about to descend everywhere.

Haiyan was the worst typhoon, — apart from all the worse ones. (Like 1912 ,  1898,  1882 etc etc and those were just the ones in the Philippines.)

So long as we live under this corporate capitalist system we have little choice but to go along in this destruction, to keep pouring on the gas instead of slamming on the brakes, and that the only alternative — impossible as this may seem right now — is to overthrow this global economic system and all of the governments of the 1% that prop it up and replace them with a global economic democracy, a radical bottom-up political democracy, an eco-socialist civilization.

What’s a radical bottom up political democracy if not the kind where every citizen can vote? Is that where cats dogs and chickens vote too? Or is it where everyone votes, but they can only pick a government Richard Smith wants?

In this parallel universe we are all deniers – even Obama

Hansen, McKibben, Obama — and most of us really — don’t want to face up to the economic implications of the need to put the brakes on growth and fossil fuel-based overconsumption. We all “need” to live in denial, and believe in delusions that carbon taxes or some tech fix will save us because we all know that capitalism has to grow or we’ll all be out of work. And the thought of replacing capitalism seems so impossible, especially given the powers arrayed against change. But what’s the alternative? In the not-so-distant future, this is all going to come to a screeching halt one way or another — either we seize hold of this out-of-control locomotive, or we ride this train right off the cliff to collapse.

At least he recognises the carbon taxes and fake free market is not the answer. Too bad he wants to throw out the real free-market too. I guess it’ll have to be state-run — what could possibly go wrong? Bring in the politburo!

The answer is always totalitarian

Emergency Contraction or Global Ecological Collapse?

If there’s no market mechanism to stop plundering the planet then, again, what alternative is there but to impose an emergency contraction on resource consumption?

(How about we wait until we get models that work, and scientists that predict things. Then we could try out some “bottom up democracy”?)

The good news is that Smith says that while we need to impose a martial law on resource consumption (like oil, coal, bricks, mining and metal) it doesn’t mean that we have to go without anything important.

This doesn’t mean we would have to de-industrialize and go back to riding horses and living in log cabins. But it does mean that we would have to abandon the “consumer economy” — shut down all kinds of unnecessary, wasteful and polluting industries from junkfood to cruise ships, disposable Pampers to disposable H&M clothes, disposable IKEA furniture, endless new model cars, phones, electronic games, the lot.

Somehow your house will be warmed, your old car will keep running, your old phone will turn up (and work), and furniture will appear in your group-share apartment. You will learn to like true retro-rusty-chrome chairs salvaged from 1965.

And who needs Pampers? Richard Smith will come to your house to help wash the nappies, right?

H/t Tom Nelson

•••

UPDATE

Spot-on comment via Soylent Siberia

Jay said…

Funny, every Marxist country I had the (mis)fortune to travel through back in the 80’s to early 90’s was an environmental shithole. Staring at the noontime sun in a cloudless sky through a thick fog of coal smoke that every building was burning for heat in Beijing, green wiggly things coming out of the water tap in Shanghi, fields where nothing could be grown due to heavy metal sludge in Poland, and let’s not forget the Marxist environmental masterpiece of Chernobyl. Yes, we need the Marxists to step in and destroy the environment to save the environment. Much like they step in and destroy people to save people.

Moral of the story ~ The greatest driver of environmental health is economic prosperity. If you want a healthy environment, you need a healthy economy first.

For more on that see this :

•••

Related :

Quote Source – The Green Agenda


Obama Switches Back To Lying About The Climate

Climatism comment : Is that the same Barack Obama who has had the fewest US hurricane landfalls (three) of any president, during his five years in office? And this year, the slowest tornado season on record and the second quietist fire season?

Mother nature doesn’t care much for Obama’s climate lies, fear mongering and superstition either.

Real Science

President Obama is bored with lying about the NSA,  Obamacare, Benghazi  the IRS, etc. and has turned his attention back to lying about the climate.

BO1BO2

Twitter / BarackObama: The effects of extreme weather …

ScreenHunter_560 May. 28 09.25

The Milwaukee Sentinel – Google News Archive Search

hazel

http://news.google.com/newspapers

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Warming faith faces collapse. But here comes Suzuki, still prattling of doom

No matter if the science of global warming is all phony…
climate change provides the greatest opportunity to
bring about justice and equality in the world
.”
– Christine Stewart,
former Canadian Minister of the Environment

The only way to get our society to truly change is to
frighten people with the possibility of a catastrophe
.”
– emeritus professor Daniel Botkin

If we don’t overthrow capitalism, we don’t have a chance of
saving the world ecologically. I think it is possible to have
an ecologically sound society under socialism.
I don’t think it is possible under capitalism
” 
– Judi Bari,
principal organiser of Earth First

Global Sustainability requires the deliberate quest of poverty,
reduced resource consumption and set levels of mortality control
.”
– Professor Maurice King

•••

via Herald Sun | Andrew Bolt

Wednesday 18, Sept 2013

Warming faith faces collapse. But here comes Suzuki, still prattling of doom

Roy Spencer, U.S. Science Team leader for the Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer on NASA’s Aqua satellite, says the global warming faith is on the brink of collapse as temperatures fail to rise:

…now, with the IPCC unable to convincingly explain the recent stall in warming (some say a change to weak cooling), the fact that they are forced to actually recognize reality and make changes in their report — possibly reducing the lower bound for future warming, thus reducing the range of climate sensitivity — is quite momentous.

It might well be that so widespread is the public knowledge of the hiatus in warming, recovering Arctic sea ice (at least temporarily), continuing expansion of Antarctic sea ice, failed predictions of previous IPCC reports, etc., are forcing them to do something to save face…

For the last 10-20 years or more, a few of us have been saying that the IPCC has been ignoring the elephant in the room…that the real climate system is simply not as sensitive to CO2 emissions as they claim…

This elephant has had to be ignored at all costs. What, the globe isn’t warming from manmade CO2 as fast as we predicted? Then it must be manmade aerosols cooling things off. Or the warming is causing the deep ocean to heat up by hundredths or thousandths of a degree. Any reason except reduced climate sensitivity, because low climate sensitivity might mean we really don’t have to worry about global warming after all…

My main point is that nothing stands in the way of a popular theory (e.g. global warming) better than failed forecasts. We are now at the point in the age of global warming hysteria where the IPCC global warming theory has crashed into the hard reality of observations.

Professor Ross McKitrick, co-author of Taken By Storm: The Troubled Science, Policy and Politics of Global Warming:

Everything you need to know about the dilemma the IPCC faces is summed up in one remarkable graph.

image

The figure nearby is from the draft version that underwent expert review last winter. It compares climate model simulations of the global average temperature to observations over the post-1990 interval. During this time atmospheric carbon dioxide rose by 12%, from 355 parts per million (ppm) to 396 ppm. The IPCC graph shows that climate models predicted temperatures should have responded by rising somewhere between about 0.2 and 0.9 degrees C over the same period. But the actual temperature change was only about 0.1 degrees, and was within the margin of error around zero. In other words, models significantly over-predicted the warming effect of CO2 emissions for the past 22 years.

Chapter 9 of the IPCC draft also shows that overestimation of warming was observed on even longer time scales in data collected by weather satellites and weather balloons over the tropics… Based on all climate models used by the IPCC, this region of the atmosphere (specifically the tropical mid-troposphere) should exhibit the most rapid greenhouse warming anywhere. Yet most data sets show virtually no temperature change for over 30 years…

To those of us who have been following the climate debate for decades, the next few years will be electrifying. There is a high probability we will witness the crackup of one of the most influential scientific paradigms of the 20th century, and the implications for policy and global politics could be staggering.

Former warmist Professor Dr Fritz Vahrenholt, former Deputy Environmental Minister for Hamburg, agrees the warming faith is collapsing as the world fails to warm:

It’s now obvious that the IPCC models are not correctly reflecting the development of atmospheric temperatures. What‘s false? Reality or the models? The hackneyed explanation of a deep sea warming below 700 meters hasn’t been substantiated up to now. How does atmospheric warming from a climate gas jump 700 meters deep into the ocean? … The likelihood is that there is no “missing heat”. Slight changes in cloud cover could easily account for a similar effect. That would mean the end of the alarmist CO2 theory…

Extreme weather is the only card they have left to play. We see that Arctic sea ice extent is the highest since 2007. At the South Pole sea ice is at the highest extent in a very long time, hurricanes have not become more frequent, the same is true with tornadoes, sea level is rising at 2-3 mm per year and there’s been no change in the rate, and global temperature has been stagnant for 15 years… CO2 does have a warming effect on the planet. However, this effect has been greatly exaggerated. The climate impact of CO2 is less than the half of what the climate alarmists claim. That’s why in our book, The Neglected Sun, we are saying there is not going to be any climate catastrophe.

The world simply hasn’t warmed as the warmists claimed. But here comes professional alarmist David Suzuki, the eco-extremist on his umpteeth visit to spread alarm about the warming that actually paused 15 years ago:

Your new prime minister Tony Abbott is just another who finds it easier and more politically rewarding to focus on the next election cycle rather than the mountain of evidence that continues to grow and show we are trashing the biosphere and must reduce carbon emissions….

In British Columbia, where I live, a warming climate has allowed insects the size of grains of rice to destroy $65 billion worth of pine trees in just a bit over a decade….  melting polar ice cap …  the devastation wrought by hurricanes Katrina and Sandy … Half the coral on the Great Barrier Reef has disappeared …  increasing frequency of cyclones … climate change is going to devastate Australia … ditching the carbon tax is not only crazy, it is absolutely suicidal.

Suzuki’s alarmism is reckless and risible, not just because Suzuki blames a few environmental changes on a warming that’s actually paused for 15 years. Suzuki also gets basic claims wrong:

… [the Great Barrier Reef] could halve again in the next decade with degradation of the environment and the increasing frequency of cyclones.

What “increasing frequency of cyclones”?

image

Will The Age, which so gladly published Suzuki’s trash, correct the record, or does being a warming alarmist give you a licence to mislead?

—————————————————————————————————-

Climatism:

Suzuki’s Other Reckless Alarmist Claims

Suzuki Claim: PINE BEETLE HYSTERIA

In 1924 low CO² Pine Beetles Destroyed 1.5 Billion Feet Of Timber In Oregon And California

pine beetle

http://trove.nla.gov.au

THE GIANT KILLER.

AMERICAN PINE BEETLE.      

Science and brawn are to-day work-ing together in systematic haste in the heart of the yellow-pine forests ofSouthern Oregon and Northern California to save ten billion feet of merchantable timber from the relentless ravages of the Western pine beetle,writes the New York “Outlook.” During the last ten years this tiny beetle  (Dendroctonus brevicomis) has destroyed a total of 1,500,000,000 feet of  timber in unquestionably the finest stand of yellow pine on the Pacific coast of the United States.

•••

Suzuki Claim: MELTING POLAR ICE-CAP HYSTERIA

Arctic Sea Ice:

September 2013: “Record return of Arctic ice cap as it grows by 60% in a year”

Screen Shot 2013-09-09 at , September 9, 5.17.14 AM

Global cooling: Arctic ice caps grows by 60% against global warming predictions | Mail Online 7 Sep, 2013

Antarctica:

via Real Science

The Last And Ugliest Part Of The Scam

Posted on September 8, 2013 by 

The Arctic sea ice scam is in its death throes, and now the climate criminals are focused on the Antarctic is going to melt and collapse and drown us all in 90 years scam.

Only problem is, Antarctica is getting colder and sea ice is increasing

111 screenhunter_360-sep-08-09-34

vortex.nsstc.uah.edu/data/msu/t2lt/uahncdc_lt_5.5.txt

222 screenhunter_361-sep-08-09-42

arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere/timeseries.south.anom.1979-2008

•••

Suzuki Claim: HURRICANE HYSTERIA

As of today, it has been 2,857 days or 7.9 years since the US has been hit by a Cat 3 or greater hurricane. The last such hurricane was Wilma on October 24th, 2005. Hurricanes are actually getting not worse, but fewer. Grover Cleveland, who was president between 1885 and 1889, had 27 major hurricanes during his presidency. Only 3 major hurricanes have made landfall during Obama’s tenure thus far.

Dr. Roger Pielke Jr. summarises:

HURRICANE FREQUENCY

The graph above provides an update to data on the remarkable ongoing US “intense hurricane drought.” When the Atlantic hurricane season starts next June 1, it will have been 2,777 days since the last time an intense (that is a Category 3, 4 or 5) hurricane made landfall along the US coast (Wilma in 2005). Such a prolonged period without an intense hurricane landfall has not been observed since 1900. 

Via Real Science

Obama : Lowest Hurricane Frequency Of Any President

Posted on September 17, 2013 by 

Obama’s approval ratings are at historic lows, as well as his hurricanes.

Since Obama took office, the US has averaged 0.6 hurricane landfalls per year. This is the fewest hurricanes of any president since at least 1850. By contrast, Grover Cleveland’s presidency averaged more than five times as many hurricanes per year as Obama’s.

Obama Hurricanes

•••

Suzuki Claim: TROPICAL STORM SANDY HYSTERIA

Hurricane Sandy was downgraded to a tropical storm when it made landfall. The resulting 3 meter storm surge, corresponded with a full moon, causing a King tide which hit at high tide.

The New York Hurricane of 1821 hit at low tide with it’s impacts much more extensive:

Via Real Science

1821 New York Hurricane Hit At Low Tide

8/26/11

Hurricane Flashback: The Great New York Storm of 1821

September 3 marks the 190th anniversary of the Hurricane of 1821, which saw flooding and destruction in the growing metropolis. In less than an hour a thirteen-foot storm surge deluged the city, swallowing everything below Canal Street. The Battery was particularly devastated, docks were destroyed, and ships were swept onto streets. Further uptown, a bridge that connected Harlem to Ward’s Island was washed away and somewhere in Chinatown, the East River likely met the Hudson. “New Yorkers were lucky,” writes Bruce Parker in The Power of the Sea: Tsunamis, Storm Surges, Rogue Waves, and Our Quest to Predict Disasters. “The hurricane hit at low tide.

Hurricane Flashback: The Great New York Storm of 1821 — Daily Intelligencer

•••

Suzuki Claim: AUSTRALIAN CYCLONE FREQUENCY INCREASING HYSTERIA

PEER-REVIEW ScienceDirect.com – Reconstructing tropical cyclone frequency using hydrogen isotope ratios of sedimentary n-alkanes in northern Queensland, Australia

Findings:

“This suggests that on average tropical cyclone frequency did not change during the past 200 years.”

BOM Tropical Cyclone Trends:

tc-graph-1969-2012

•••

Suzuki Claim: GREAT BARRIER REEF HYSTERIA

The major problems facing the Great Barrier Reef are to do with real pollution and physical factors; fertilisers and chemical pollution, damage from cyclone Yasi, development of coal terminals and from the crown of thorns starfish. Conditions far removed from perceived damage caused by increased Carbon Dioxide concentrations.

Great Barrier Reef report card shows World Heritage site’s health has dropped to ‘poor’ | The Courier-Mail

See also: Claim: Ocean Acidification Is Climate Change’s ‘Equally Evil Twin’ | CACA

•••

Suzuki Claim: AUS TEMPERATURE HYSTERIA

See: Australia’s record hottest 12 month period? Junk science say the Satellites | CACA

•••

Related Articles:

Climatism Links:

Australia Climate Related:


Life In The Dark Ages

HOW GLOBAL WARMING (alarmism) IMPACTS THE GRID:

  • Green Logic Fail

Real Science

Global warming will impact the power grid

Published: August 3, 2013

ScreenHunter_248 Aug. 05 13.58

a new report released by the Department of Energy in July, says that our electrical grid will be impacted due to the effects of global warming. Over the last century, air and ocean temperatures have continued to increase and droughts have become more prolonged. Both of these conditions have produced a seemingly never-ending fire season across the Western United States. July 2012 was the hottest month ever recorded in the United States and 2012 was the warmest year overall.

Global warming will impact the power grid | John Lindsey | SanLuisObispo.com

More like a seemingly endless bullshit season from climate alarmists. Droughts have not gotten worse.

ScreenHunter_246 Aug. 05 13.49

Climate at a Glance | Time Series

Hansen wrote this in 1999 :

Empirical evidence does not lend much support to the notion that climate is headed precipitately toward more extreme heat and…

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