Another blow to the ‘extreme weather is climate’ alarmism meme – Australian cyclone activity down

Mann made CO2 induced Extreme Weather reminder…

Watts Up With That?

We’ve mentioned many times the lack of major landfalling hurricanes on the USA being in a record drought. When the Atlantic hurricane season starts on June 1st, 13 days from now, it will have been (barring a miracle storm) 2,777 days since the last time an intense (that is a Category 3, 4 or 5) hurricane made landfall along the US coast (Wilma in 2005). Such a prolonged period without an intense hurricane landfall has not been observed since 1900.

hurrdrou0613[1]

Source: Dr. Roger Pielke Jr.

We’ve also routinely talked about Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) being down. You can see the downtrends on the WUWT Extreme Weather Page.

Now Australia’s Bureau of Meteorology has posted an updated graph (if you can call through 2011 “updated”) that shows a significant downtrend in all tropical storms, with no discernible trend for severe tropical cyclones. They write:

View original post 118 more words


Super Typhoon Yolanda (Haiyan)

 “It doesn’t matter what is true,
it only matters what people believe is true
.”
– Paul Watson,
co-founder of Greenpeace

The only way to get our society to truly change is to
frighten people with the possibility of a catastrophe
.”
– emeritus professor Daniel Botkin

We’ve got to ride this global warming issue.
Even if the theory of global warming is wrong,
we will be doing the right thing in terms of
economic and environmental policy.

– Timothy Wirth,
President of the UN Foundation

Re-pressed via Not A Lot Of People Know That

Super Typhoon Yolanda

NOVEMBER 9, 2013

By Paul Homewood

Sadly it appears that at least 1000 lives have been lost in Typhoon Yolanda (or Haiyan), that has just hit the Philippines. There appear to have been many unsubstantiated claims about its size, though these now appear to start being replaced by accurate information.

Nevertheless the BBC are still reporting today

Typhoon Haiyan – one of the most powerful storms on record to make landfall …….The storm made landfall shortly before dawn on Friday, bringing gusts that reached 379km/h (235 mph).

  

Unfortunately we cannot always trust the BBC to give the facts these days, so let’s see what the Philippine Met Agency, PAGASA, have to say :

image

image

image

http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcarchive_files.html

http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/wbfcst.html

So at landfall the sustained wind was 235 kmh or 147 mph, with gusts upto 275 kmh or 171 mph. This is 60 mph less than the BBC have quoted.

The maximum strength reached by the typhoon appears to have been around landfall, as the reported windspeeds three hours earlier were 225 kmh.

Terrible though this storm was, it only ranks as a Category 4 storm, and it is clear nonsense to suggest that it is “one of the most powerful storms on record to make landfall “

image

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Saffir%E2%80%93Simpson_Hurricane_Scale

Given the geography of the Pacific, most typhoons stay out at sea, or only hit land once they have weakened. But in total terms, the busiest typhoon season in recent decades was 1964, whilst the following year logged the highest number of super typhoons (which equate to Cat 3 +). Of the eleven super typhoons that year, eight were Category 5’s.

image

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Typhoon

So far this year, before Yolanda there have been just three Category 5’s, none of which hit land at that strength.

Personally I don’t like to comment on events such as these until long after the dust has settled. Unfortunately though, somebody has to set the record if we cannot rely on the BBC and others to get the basic facts right.

UPDATE

In case anyone thinks I am overreacting, take a look at the Daily Mail headlines.

image

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2494635/Philippines-super-typhoon-Haiyan-powerful-storm-history.html

Just looking at it again, is it possible the MSM are confusing mph with kmh? It seems a coincidence that PAGASA report 235 kmh.

UPDATE 2

I have just registered a complaint at the Press Complaints Commission against the Mail article. If anyone spots similar articles elsewhere, and I will add them to my complaint.

UPDATE 3

I seem to have been right about the kmh/mph confusion!

I’ve just scanned down the Mail article and seen this:

image

Unless they think “gusts” are less than “winds”, it looks like someone has boobed.

via Super Typhoon Yolanda.

•••

UPDATE

Re-blogged via Not A Lot Of People Know That

Typhoon Yolanda The Strongest Since 2006

NOVEMBER 10, 2013
tags: 

By Paul Homewood

http://notalotofpeopleknowthat.files.wordpress.com/2013/11/image50.png?w=600

http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcarchive_files.html

image

image

http://kidlat.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/cab/tc_frame.htm

Typhoon Yolanda is claimed to be the strongest storm ever, with gusts of 275 kph.

Yet back in 2006, Typhoon Reming recorded 320 kph.

And in 1970, Typhoon Sening registered the same 275 kph.

image

http://kidlat.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/cab/tc_frame.htm

All figures are from the Philippine Met Agency, PAGOSA, and are calculated on the same basis, as the windspeeds at landfall.

So why are we being lied to?

•••

UPDATE

Via The Hockey Schtick

Was Haiyan the Strongest Storm Ever? No

By Cris LaranoWSJ.COM 11/14/13–MANILA—When supertyphoon Haiyan, locally known as Yolanda, made landfall last Friday on Guiuan, a coastal town on the central Philippine island of Samar around 410 miles south of Manila, it was described by some as the strongest storm to make landfall in the world this year, maybe ever.

So is it?

Data from the national weather bureau, the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration, or PAGASA, showed that Typhoon Haiyan’s intensity – measured by the wind strength at its center and the speed of gusts at landfall – Haiyan ranks at number 7 among the strongest storms ever to have hit the Philippines.

It could eventually prove to be the deadliest, with the death toll currently at more than 2,300 and mounting. But among the so-called supertyphoons— those with center winds in excess of 134 miles an hour — the title goes to Joan.

Known locally as Sening, that storm made landfall in Virac, Catanduanes province, north of the current devastation and around 236 miles south of Manila. When it hit, Joan had center winds of 171 miles per hour and gusts of 193 miles per hour, compared to Haiyan’s 147 mph.

Related:

Are Typhoon Disasters Getting More Common? No

 •••

Related :

Quote Source – The Green Agenda


Shock News : The Philippines Have Always Had Super Typhoons

We’ve got to ride this global warming issue.
Even if the theory of global warming is wrong,
we will be doing the right thing in terms of
economic and environmental policy.

– Timothy Wirth,
President of the UN Foundation

It doesn’t matter what is true,
it only matters what people believe is true
.”
– Paul Watson,
co-founder of Greenpeace

We are on the verge of a global transformation.
All we need is the right major crisis
…”
– David Rockefeller,
Club of Rome executive member

•••

Screen Shot 2013-11-09 at , November 9, 5.01.37 PMScreen Shot 2013-11-09 at , November 9, 5.01.59 PM

Super Typhoon Haiyan Is a Wake-Up Call for UN Climate Summit | Jamie Henn

•••

The alarmist Huffington Post, ever quick to blame humans for Typhoon Haiyan, or any *weather* event, forgot to read the latest findings from the IPCC. Their latest climate report AR5, concedes a “Low Confidence” link between extreme weather and man-made greenhouse gas emissions.

Official IPCC Words from SREX report released 2012 : ”We Do Not Know If The Climate Is Becoming More Extreme

HuffPo’s human causation conclusion is not supported by IPCC AR5 or SREX.

•••

Don’t expect Huffington Post or delegates at the upcoming UN climate propaganda gabfest COP19 to report or discuss the Philippines devastating history of Super Typhoons, with CO² well below 350ppm :

  1. TYPHOON IN PHILLIPINES. LONDON, Sunday.
    The Gundagai Times and Tumut, Adelong and Murrumbidgee District Advertiser (NSW : 1868 – 1931) Tuesday 7 January 1913 p 2 Article
    … TYPHOON IN PHILLIPINES. London, Sunday. During’ a recent typhoon in the Phillipines, a steamer, 7000 tons, sank at anchor. … 19 words
  2. TYPHOON IN PHILLIPINES. LONDON, Thursday afternoon.
    Northern Star (Lismore, NSW : 1876 – 1954) Saturday 26 September 1908 p 9 Article
    … TYPHOON IN PHILLIPINES. LONDON, Thursday afternoon. Thursday has been a typhoon with a great loss of life and property at Sumar Leyte Luzon, Panay, Misbate and Ramulon, in the Phillipines Group. There are no details yet. … 30 words
  3. TYPHOON DEVASTATES PHILLIPINES. MORE THAN 100 DEAD.
    Albany Advertiser (WA : 1897 – 1950) Monday 22 November 1937 p 1 Article
    … TYPHOON DEVASTATES PHILLIPINES. MORE THAN 100 DEAD. MANILA, Nov. 19.-A typhoon which swept and devastated eight islands is- lands in the Phillipine Group yesterday, yester- day, resulted in the deaths of 123 per per- sons, while over 100 are missing. Sixty per cent. of the homes were des des- … 49 words
  4. TYPHOON IN THE PHILLIPINES. MANILLA, Friday.
    Northern Territory Times and Gazette (Darwin, NT : 1873 – 1927) Tuesday 7 September 1920 p 1 Article
    … TYPHOON IN THE PHILLIPINES. MANILLA, Friday A typhoon has wrought much damage to the Phillipine Islands. The naval station at Cavito was unroof[?]l. The American oil tank steamer Eastern Eas[?] was driven ashore in Manilla Bay. … 38 words
  5. DISASTROUS TYPHOON Phillipines Swept MANILA, Dec. 4.
    The Maitland Daily Mercury (NSW : 1894 – 1939) Tuesday 5 December 1939 p 5 Article
    … DISASTROUS TYPHOON Phillipines Swept (‘Mercury’ Service) MANILA, Dec.’ 4. Service) A typhoon which is sweeping through the Philippine Islands and approaching ing Manila is said to be the worst experienced perienced since 1908. ?It has already ravaged five south western islands, and isolated seven … 81 words
  6. TYPHOON RAVAGES PHILLIPINES HUNDREDS HOMELESS MANILA, To-day
    Mirror (Perth, WA : 1921 – 1956) Saturday 10 December 1938 p 3 Article
    … TYPHOON RAVAGES PHILLIPINES HUNDREDS HOMELESS MANILA, To-day A typhoon ravaged the Philippine Islands, causing at least twenty deaths and 750,000 dollars worth of damage. Communications have been destroyed and hundreds are homeless. It is feared the freighter Admiral Hal Hal- stead, which carries … 54 words
  7. PLANE LOST IN TYPHOON OFF PHILLIPINES MANILA, Tuesday.
    The Canberra Times (ACT : 1926 – 1995) Wednesday 29 October 1952 p 4 Article
    … PLANE LOST IN TYPHOON OFF PHILLIPINES MANILA, Tuesday. The typhoon ”Wilma” blew into the China Sea toward Indo-China China today leaving three dead, 21 missing and a trail of de- struction through … Capiz. The storm was considerably less severe than the typhoon ”Trix” last week, which left 1000 … 125 words
  8. WIDESPREAD DAMAGE Typhoon Sweeps Phillipines MANILLA (P.I.). Monday.
    Goulburn Evening Penny Post (NSW : 1881 – 1940) Tuesday 27 November 1928 Edition: DAILY and EVENING p 2 Article
    … WIDESPREAD DAMAGE Typhoon Sweeps Phillipines MANILLA (P.I.), Monday. The most severe typhoon experienced enced in the Phillipine Islands this year swept the southern portion of Luzon Island. The gale at times reached a velocity o’f 70 miles an hour. The damage is estimated at £250,000. Thirty per … 84 words
  9. A TYPHOON IN THE PHILLIPINES. MANILA, May 12.
    The Northern Miner (Charters Towers, Qld. : 1874 – 1954) Tuesday 13 May 1913 p 5 Article
    … A TYPHOON IN THE PHILLIPINES. PH1UJHMSS MANILLA, May 12. IS A dreadful typhoon is still raging though nearly spent. Many steam- ttoMn ers and lighter craft have been … s since the sea rose to such a terrific height. … 54 words
  10. TYPHOON IN PHILLIPINES 200 DEAD AND THOUSANDS HOMELESS. Manila, Sept. 8.
    Kalgoorlie Miner (WA : 1895 – 1950) Tuesday 10 September 1929 p 5 Article
    … TYPHOON IN PHILLIPINES | ? ? ^-»– ? ? ? 200 DEAD AND THOUSANDS HOMELESS. Manila, Sept. 8. ! Two hundred are dead and thousands sands are homeless as the result of a typhoon at Southern Luzon Island The United States des troyer is. en route to the coast of JLuzon for relief work. The water … 77 words
  11. TYPHOON IN THE PHILLIPINES DEATH ROLL EXCEEDS 200 THOUSANDS REPORTED HOMELESS MANILLA, Sunday.
    The Canberra Times (ACT : 1926 – 1995) Tuesday 10 September 1929 p 1 Article
    … TYPHOON IN THE PHILLIPINES DEATH ROLL EXCEEDS 200 THOUSANDS REPORTED HOMELESS MANILLA, Sunday. A typhoon which is over the southern end of Luzon Island has rendered thousands homeless. Over 200 are dead. A United States destroyer is bound for the coast of Luzon to aid in relief work. Subsequent to … 74 words
  12. TYPHOON IN PHILLIPINES 200 DEAD AND THOUSANDS HOMELESS. Manila, Sept. 8.
    Western Argus (Kalgoorlie, WA : 1916 – 1938) Tuesday 17 September 1929 p 26 Article
    … TYPHOON IN PHILLIPINES 2o0 DEAD AND THOUSANDS HOMELESS. Manila, Sept. 8. Two hundred are dead and thousands thou- sands are homeless as the result of a typhoon at Southern Luzon Island The United States des des- troyer is en route to the coast of Luzon for relief work. The water shortage at … 67 words
  13. TYPHOON AND TIDAL WAVE IN THE PHILLIPINES. 7000 Lives Lost.
    Barrier Miner (Broken Hill, NSW : 1888 – 1954) Wednesday 12 January 1898 Edition: SECOND EDITION p 3 Article
    … TYPHOON AND TIDAL WAVE IN THE PHILLIPINES. 7000 Lives Lost. MAIL advices, brought by the steamer Gaelic from Chinese and other ports in the Far East, contain details of the fearful destruc- tion wrought in the Phillipine Islands by the typhoon and tidal wave during October. It is … 711 words
  14. TYPHOON. MUCH DAMAGE CAUSED IN THE PHILLIPINES. Manilla, Monday.
    Camperdown Chronicle (Vic. : 1877 – 1954) Tuesday 13 May 1913 p 3 Article
    … TYPHOON. MUCH DAMAGE CAUSED IN THE PHILLIPINES. Manilla, Monday. ” ‘A heavy typhoon swept the Plnllip piuo Islands,: causing grisvt damage. Many steamers and lighter” craft wore wreched, and much … persons lost their lives at sea. Tho typhoon was tho most serious oxpori enwd” for ■ eight years.l’l- ‘■ … 68 words
  15. SEVERE TYPHOON FAR EAST STRUCK HEAVY CASUALTIES IN THE PHILLIPINES Manila, August 22.
    Geraldton Guardian and Express (WA : 1929 – 1947) Saturday 24 August 1940 p 1 Article
    … SEVERE TYPHOON FAR EAST STRUCK HEAVY CASUALTIES IN THE PHILLIPINES Manila, August 22. Eight people are reported to be dead in North Luzon as a result of a typhoon which struck the Far East on … island of the Phillipines. … 90 words
  16. DISASTROUS TYPHOON.
    The Gundagai Times and Tumut, Adelong and Murrumbidgee District Advertiser (NSW : 1868 – 1931) Friday 29 September 1905 p 2 Article
    … DISASTROUS TYPHOON. Ten persons have been killed and a thousand people rendered homeless by a typhoon in the Phillipines. … 19 words
  17. A STEAMER LOST IN A TYPHOON.
    Gippsland Times (Vic. : 1861 – 1954) Thursday 5 October 1905 Edition: MORNINGS. p 3 Article
    … A STEAMER LOST IN A TYPHOON. The steamer Cantabrin,”. plying amongst the foundered in a typhoon. 97 officers and crew ands 17 passengers perished. ” ý … 26 words
  18. Latest Telegrams. INTERNATIONAL. London, Oct. 21.
    Western Herald (Bourke, NSW : 1887 – 1970) Wednesday 23 October 1912 p 2 Article
    … Latest telegrams. INTERNATIONAL. London. Oct. 21. In a typhoon he Phillipines 400 lives were lost one town, while in two towns 2,400 hoses were wrecked. The damage is estimated ti mi ted at five millions. The crop wm destroyed. Jack Johnson, elirged with abduc tion, was broughtibefoie the Police … 76 words
  19. DISASTROUS TYPHOON. Towns Wrecked. (By Cable). London, Thursday.
    Singleton Argus (NSW : 1880 – 1954) Saturday 30 November 1912 p 4 Article
    … DISASTROUS TYPHOON. Towns Wrecked. (By Cable). London, Thursday. A terrifle 1 ?.l ? A terrific typhoon has taken place in the Phillipines. Two towns were ruined, and hundreds killed and drowned. Two steamers were wrecked in Taleoban Har- hour. … 39 words
  20. 30 LIVES LOST IN WRECK
    Goulburn Evening Post (NSW : 1940 – 1957) Monday 29 December 1947 Edition: Daily and Evening p 3 Article
    … 30 LIVES LOST IN .WRECK MANILA, Monday: Of 64 persons sons on board the Danish motorship, torship, Kina, which sank in the Sea of Sama on Christmas Day after a typhoon sweeping the’ Phillipines had sent it crashing oh, the Jagged rocks of Camandag Island, 34, in cluuiing the captain, are still … 104 words

•••

UPDATE

Via Real Science

Devastation From The 1897 Philippines Low CO2 Typhoon

Posted on Real Science November 12, 2013 by 

ScreenHunter_244 Nov. 12 09.31

Published: November 28, 1897

Copyright © The New York Times

THOUSANDS OF LIVES LOST.

SAN FRANCISCO, Cal., Nov. 27.—The typhoon which swept over the Philippine Islands on Oct. 6 was the cause of one of the worst disasters reported from the Southern Ocean In many years- Thousands of lives were lost, among those who perished being many Europeans, and the damage to property was something appalling.

The difficulty of getting news from the Islands is great at any time, and owing to the remoteness of some of the provinces visited by the hurricane full details of the 1st of November. The steamer Gaelic,  from the Orient to-day, brought letters and papers which contain accounts of the ravages of the tidal wave and the winds. Several towns were swept or blown away. Fully 400 Europeans were drowned, and it is estimated that 6,000 natives perished.

THOUSANDS OF LIVES LOST. – Many Vessels Wrecked and Property Worth Millions Destroyed in Typhoon-Swept Philippines. – View Article – NYTimes.com

•••

UPDATE

Via Real Science

1952 : Philippines Hit By Two Devastating Typhoons In A Week

Posted on November 13, 2013 by 

ScreenHunter_292 Nov. 13 13.44

27 Oct 1952 – WORSE TYPHOON HEADED FOR SOUTH LUZON MANILA, Sun…

•••

More Low CO² Philippines “Super” Typhoon Devastation :

Oct 22, 1882
“Observatory says lowest barometer at 11.40 a. m., 727.60 ; highest velocity wind registered, 144.4 miles an hour. Unable to measure greatest velocity of typhoon as anemometer damaged.”
http://trove.nla.gov.au/ndp/del/article/38278695

The Philippines government says that the top speed of Haiyan was 146 MPH.

Oct 21, 1897
http://trove.nla.gov.au/ndp/del/article/14101833

Dec 16, 1900
“A terrific cyclone was encountered on December 16, when the vessel was to the eastward of the Philippines. The tempest raged for three days, and the vessel was absolutely uncontrollable.”
trove.nla.gov.au/ndp/del/article/14356766

Sep 27, 1905
TYPHOON AT MANILA. THOUSANDS HOMELESS.
trove.nla.gov.au/ndp/del/article/4965581

Sep 20, 1906
Destructive Typhoon in the Philippines.Vessels wrecked.1000 lives lost in Hongkong.
trove.nla.gov.au/ndp/del/article/4343461

10 Jan 1907
TYPHOON IN THE PHILIPPINES. A HUNDRED MEN KILLED.
trove.nla.gov.au/ndp/del/article/5052954

23 Sep 1908
TYPHOON IN THE PHILIPPINES.GREAT LOSS OF LIFE.
trove.nla.gov.au/ndp/del/article/5187348

19 Oct 1912
GREAT TYPHOON.Heavy Loss of Life.Damage of £5,000,000.
trove.nla.gov.au/ndp/del/article/10518642

30 Nov 1912
A BIG TYPHOON.DEVASTATION IN THE PHILIPPINES.THOUSANDS KILLED.
trove.nla.gov.au/ndp/del/article/5355894

12 May 1913
TYPHOON IN PHILIPPINES.FIFTY-EIGHT LIVES LOST.EXTENSIVE DAMAGE.
The typhoon was the most severe experienced for eight years.
trove.nla.gov.au/ndp/del/article/90934517

27 Oct 1915
PHILIPPINES TYPHOON.A TOWN WIPED OUT.
trove.nla.gov.au/ndp/del/article/10434066

3 Sep 1920
TYPHOON IN PHILIPPINES.MUCH DAMAGE DONE.
trove.nla.gov.au/ndp/del/article/11490381

12 June 1923
Disastrous Typhoon.
trove.nla.gov.au/ndp/del/article/2008470

27 June 1925
TYPHOON IN PHILIPPINES. ELEVEN PEOPLE KILLED.
trove.nla.gov.au/ndp/del/article/84052280

28 Nov 1928
The Philippines have been swept by a typhoon described as the worst known for years.
trove.nla.gov.au/ndp/del/article/29319617

10 Dec 1938
TYPHOON RAVAGES PHILLIPINES. HUNDREDS HOMELESS.

trove.nla.gov.au/ndp/del/article/76063407

H/t to Real Science Shock News : The Philippines Have Always Had Super Typhoons.

•••

See also : Typhoon2000.com..:: THE 12 WORST TYPHOONS OF THE PHILIPPINES (A SUMMARY).. ::

H/t to Craig Havenaar

•••

haiyan_red_cross

Please Donate generously to the Red-Cross Typhoon Haiyan appeal

•••

Related Links :

Alarmist Media Reporting :