Climate Ambulance Chasing

We’ve got to ride this global warming issue.
Even if the theory of global warming is wrong,
we will be doing the right thing in terms of
economic and environmental policy.

Timothy Wirth,
President of the UN Foundation

Snowfall will become “a very rare and exciting event.”
“Children just aren’t going to know what snow is.”
Dr David Viner – Senior scientist, climatic research unit (CRU)

snow_thing_of_the-past

•••

With 49 of 50 states in the U.S.A. covered by snow, climate alarmists have been quick to blame the extreme Northern Hemisphere winter on man-made global warming: see here and here. Sounds like the biggest oxymoron in history and probably is. Worse still, the eco-fearmongers remain totally oblivious, or conveniently unaware as to what the climate experts assured us that a warming climate would bring – milder winter temperatures, and less snow.

Milder Winters :

2001 15.2.4.1.2.4. Ice Storms

Milder winter temperatures will decrease heavy snowstorms

IPCC Third Assessment Report – Climate Change 2001 

Snowfalls Are Now Just A Thing Of The Past :

20 March 2000

According to Dr David Viner, a senior research scientist at the climatic research unit (CRU) of the University of East Anglia,within a few years winter snowfall will become “a very rare and exciting event”.

“Children just aren’t going to know what snow is,” he said.

Snowfalls are now just a thing of the past – Environment – The Independent

Fact : Five Of The Six Snowiest Winters Have Occurred Since David Viner Declared The End Of Snow | Real Science

Is global warming climate change causing the latest outbreak of extreme weather? Roy Spencer explains in simple science how humanity’s minuscule role in changing the rate of flow of energy imbalances could not yield any discernible effect on weather and that a ‘warming’ planet would actually decrease likelihood and intensity …

“The idea that any of the weather we are seeing is in any significant way due to humanity’s greenhouse gas emissions verges on irrationality.” - Roy Spencer

Screen Shot 2014-02-15 at , February 15, 12.26.39 pm

How much weather is being caused by climate change? Maybe 1 part in 1,000.

February 14th, 2014 by Roy W. Spencer, Ph. D.

In another silly pseudo-science rambling, the President’s science advisor, John Holdren, has recently stated, “Weather practically everywhere is being caused by climate change.”

Drought in California. Record snows in the East. It’s tempting for many to blame it all on our use of fossil fuels.

What Causes Weather?
Let’s start with the basics. Weather is caused by energy imbalances, primarily (1) between the solar heated surface of the Earth and the atmosphere above it, and (2) between different geographic regions (e.g. the tropics vs. high latitudes; the warm oceans versus cold continents in winter).

These energy imbalances have associated temperature differences, which in turn cause atmospheric circulation systems which form clouds, precipitation, and high and low pressure systems.

How much energy is involved? On a global basis the average rate of solar energy absorbed by the Earth is estimated to be about 240 Watts per sq. meter. In order for the climate system to stay at the same average temperature year after year, the Earth has to lose exactly the same amount of energy (240 W m-2) to outer space, in the form of infrared energy.

It’s all about the energy…and especially about imbalances in energy, which causes “weather” as the ocean and atmosphere seek to reduce those imbalances. On a local basis, those imbalances can be tens or even hundreds of watts per sq. meter.

So, How Much of Weather Could be Caused by Manmade Climate Change?
Our best estimate of how much the climate system has been perturbed from energy balance comes from the slow warming of the oceans, which since the 1950s equates to a 1 part in 1,000 energy imbalance (say, if 240 W m-2 of solar energy has been absorbed on average, 239.75 W m-2 has been lost to space…the slight ~0.25 W m-2 imbalance leads to slow warming).

Now, how exactly can a 1 part in 1,000 energy imbalance lead Holdren to state, “Weather practically everywhere is being caused by climate change”? Well, all I can think of is that his statement is not based in science.

Maybe that imbalance in recent years is somewhat more…say 2 parts in 1,000 (about a 0.5 W m-2 imbalance). But even that depends upon whether you believe in the measurements of tiny, multi-decadal oceanic warming trends of tenths or hundredths of a degree (depending on depth).

And it’s far from clear that even that is entirely our fault.

Now, how that tiny imbalance gets translated into a change in weather is, admittedly, not well understood. But, ultimately, weather is still related to energy imbalances, and mankind’s role in changing those rates of energy flow is miniscule.

You might say, “But what about global warming causing a warmer Gulf Stream, which then clashes with the cold air masses and makes bigger East Coast snowstorms?” The trouble with that argument is that “global warming” warms those winter air masses more than it warms the oceans,reducing the temperature contrast. So, if the opposite is happening this winter, then it’s not due to global warming.

The idea that any of the weather we are seeing is in any significant way due to humanity’s greenhouse gas emissions verges on irrationality.

How much weather is being caused by climate change? Maybe 1 part in 1,000. « Roy Spencer, PhD

See also : A Few Low CO2 Natural Disasters | Real Science

•••

A salient short essay from Climate Realists that resonates with those sceptical of blaming every other weather event on man-made climate change :

ClimateRealists
@ClimateRealists
Yes it’s “Climate Change”..but NOT as we know it…Like many of us I get tired of being called a “Denier” and all the rest of it as I don’t buy into “Man Made” Climate Change.
I do, and ALWAYS have acknowledged that our climate changes. The best example of a change in the weather is during the four seasons. We see our climate alter each year during Winter, Spring, Summer and Autumn but as far as can I tell, the small fluctuations of a fraction of a degree spread over 150-250 years are not noticeable in the same way.
What has been noticeable in the UK this Winter is that we are stuck with the Jet Stream going South of the UK. It’s very easy to point the blame at “Man Made” CO2 as being the culprit as it “kinda” fits in with what has been said by various groups who promote what can only be described as “Alarmism”.
These groups are the same who stated the effect of “man made” CO2 would result in our world becoming dry and hot, but that’s not happening. What they promote now is “you name it, you did it”. This view they are trying to maintain is a corruption of science.
Instead we have a world that’s going into a cooling period, but you can’t see it from the data as the official data has been corrupted with a bias to warming, and what looks like a “Pause” over the past 17 years, is in fact the beginning of at least a thirty year cooling period.
I can only describe the state of play at the moment, that it resembles the “Emperors New Clothes”. This means that nothing you read complies with reality, the Met Office are very limited to what they can attribute to the very wet Winter in the UK, and the last thing they can state is that the fall in Solar Activity has altered the Jet Stream. I however am not in that position and will continue to promote this view, nature will do the rest for me.
I love you all,
Gabriel
H/t to Climate Realists
•••
UPDATE

UPDATE

•••

See also : 

Extreme Weather Peer-Reviewed :

Peer-Reviewed Studies Proving The Lack Of Any Recent Warming :

Climatism Links :

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9 Comments on “Climate Ambulance Chasing”

  1. grumpydenier says:

    I’ve popped this into my new forum (with link back).

    It’ll also be in my next roundup post on the main site.
    http://grumpydenier.freeforums.org/climate-ambulance-chasing-t8.html

  2. Parma John says:

    Love your name! It’s nearly perfect.

    With a minor, natural modification it works in Italian, too: Catastrophic Anthropogenic Climate Change Alarmism.

  3. patriot93610 says:

    Reblogged this on Chowchilla Patriot and commented:
    This is what Obama was doing yesterday in Fresno.

  4. Anonymous says:

    Nice blog, and very good article. I come back here!


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