Wash-out: Warmist Bureau’s Drought Prediction Fail

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Floods Hit Victoria (Source : Herald Sun) 

Yet another alarmist scare out of the warmist Australian Bureau of Meteorology, wrecked by Mother Nature.

Either that or they put way too much ‘faith’ in their junk-in, junk-out computer models.

The litany of failed, alarmist predictions is why scientific organisations, such as the BoM, have – tragically – become almost the last places to hear the truth about global warming climate change.

The ‘Meteorological Office’ used to exist as a corrective to scaremongering, not any more.

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From Herald Sun

Floods? Near-record rainfall? I’d like the head of climate predictions at the Bureau of Meteorology to explain why his 2008 prediction of a “new climate” of drought turned out so wrong.

 

2008:

IT MAY be time to stop describing south-eastern Australia as gripped by drought and instead accept the extreme dry as permanent, one of the nation’s most senior weather experts warned yesterday.

“Perhaps we should call it our new climate,” said the Bureau of Meteorology’s head of climate analysis, David Jones.

2016:

Winter was Australia’s second wettest on record – just missing out on a new high by a couple of millimetres, leaving many regions already sodden.

“It’s about as wet as it has been in the past 110 years [of records] across Australia,” David Jones, head of climate predictions at the Bureau of Meteorology, said.

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Related :


New Study Finds No Evidence Of Global Warming Increasing Extreme Rainfall

Another one bites the dust ☔️

NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT

By Paul Homewood

image

http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0307.1

This paper, published last month, has some relevance to recent attempts to blame the Louisiana floods on global warming.

ABSTRACT

Precipitation extremes have a widespread impact on societies and ecosystems; it is therefore important to understand current and future patterns of extreme precipitation. Here, a set of new global coupled climate models with varying atmospheric resolution has been used to investigate the ability of these models to reproduce observed patterns of precipitation extremes and to investigate changes in these extremes in response to increased atmospheric CO2 concentrations. The atmospheric resolution was increased from 2°×2° grid cells (typical resolution in the CMIP5 archive) to 0.25°×.25° (tropical cyclone-permitting). Analysis has been confined to the contiguous United States (CONUS). It is shown that, for these models, integrating at higher atmospheric resolution improves all aspects of simulated extreme precipitation: spatial patterns, intensities and seasonal timing. In response to 2×CO

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Another Flannery Fail: Geothermal Power Plant Project Scrapped

Tim Flannery.

No other comment needed.

Other than to mention that despite his myriad of alarmist dud-predictions resulting in costly, failed unreliable (green) energy solutions – geothermal, failed windmills, $12 billion of mothballed desal plants, to name a few, the Government funded ABC continues to default to him as their resident climate expert!?

The groupthink, warmist activists over at the ABC, never once questioning or holding him to account for his litany of green failures and dud-predictions, costing taxpayers literally billions upon billions of dollars.

But once again, the worst Flannery and his climate change alarmist cronies can ever be accused of, for failed alarmist predictions resulting in massive taxpayer-dollar waste, is an excess of virtue, in order to “Save the planet”.

Disgraceful.

PA Pundits - International

Bolt New 01By Andrew Bolt ~

Another green energy fail:

A potential energy source in Australia is set to remain untapped, with a geothermal power project in the far north of South Australia now closed.

Energy company Geodynamics closed and remediated the sites of several test wells and generation plants in the Cooper Basin after deciding they were not financially viable.

Professor Tim Flannery (Former Australian Climate Change Commissioner)Professor Tim Flannery (Former Australian Climate Change Commissioner)

So who spruiked it? Climate catastrophist Tim Flannery:

There are hot rocks in South Australia that potentially have enough embedded energy in them to run Australia’s economy for the best part of a century. They are not being fully exploited yet but the technology to extract that energy and turn it into electricity is relatively straightforward….

But we’ve totally ignored the technologies that really, I think, have a lot of potential to do the job very cost effectively such as geothermal and solar…

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Former Climate Commissioner Flannery Drowning In Hype

PA Pundits - International

Bolt New 01By Andrew Bolt ~

The Left has far more to fear from demands to criminalise dud claims about global warming:

Cartoon -- Global Warming LiesThirteen state GOP attorneys general have sent a letter to the Democratic AG’s who are investigating ExxonMobile for fraud in climate change research, telling them that if minimizing the danger of climate change is fraud, so is exaggerating the peril. They threaten to prosecute climate alarmists for making spectacular claims of disaster that have not materialized…

The “cuts both ways” argument was among those raised by 13 Republican attorneys general in a letter urging their Democratic counterparts to stop using their law enforcement power against fossil fuel companies and others that challenge the climate change catastrophe narrative.

“Consider carefully the legal precedent and threat to free speech, said the state prosecutors in their letter this week, headed by Alabama Attorney General Luther Strange.

“If it is possible to minimize the…

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Death in Tasmania: Australia Cloud Seeding Green Hydropower Disaster

“It looks like Tasmania’s green policies may have caused the death of at least one person, who died in flooding which was likely exacerbated by an unwise decision to attempt to boost an already torrential downpour.”

Greens – killing the Earth (and people) to “Save” it. Shock news.

Read this latest eco-zealot-driven doozy…

Watts Up With That?

Tasmanian devil, ferocious bad tempered carnivorous rodent, native to Tasmania. Author John Cummings https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Tasmanian_devil_(Sarcophilus_harrisii),_Natural_History_Museum,_London,_Mammals_Gallery.JPG Tasmanian devil, ferocious bad tempered carnivorous rodent, native to Tasmania. Author John Cummings https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Tasmanian_devil_(Sarcophilus_harrisii),_Natural_History_Museum,_London,_Mammals_Gallery.JPG

Guest essay by Eric Worrall

JoNova has discovered that just prior to recent disastrous flooding in Tasmania, Australia, desperate hydropower operators conducted a cloud seeding operation, despite there already being forecasts of torrential rainfall.

The whole sorry mess started, when desperately green Tasmania attempted to go 100% renewable. Tasmania thought they were on a winner, and allegedly got greedy – they may have inadvertently burned out the power cable which connects the island state to mainland Australia, trying to sell too much premium “green” electricity to the mainland.

Hydro Tasmania exceeded safe power transmission levels, Basslink says

BASSLINK owners sought to restrict Hydro Tasmania’s electricity exports and enforce a “cooling off” protocol during the period of the carbon tax to ensure the undersea cable was operated safely and reliably.

The news comes as Basslink prepares to…

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The sea levels are now reducing in the “hotspots of acceleration” of Washington and New York

When is that colourless, odourless, trace gas and plant food ‘Carbon Dioxide’ (aka “pollution”), currently emitted at ‘record’ levels, meant to kick in and submerge the Statue Of Liberty, as Nat Geo assures us?

Watts Up With That?

Guest essay by Giordano Bruno

Hopefully everybody remember Sallenger’s “hot spots” of sea level acceleration along the East Coast of the US.

Asbury H. Sallenger Jr, Kara S. Doran & Peter A. Howd, Hotspot of accelerated sea-level rise on the Atlantic coast of North America, Nature Climate Change 2, 884–888 (2012), doi:10.1038/nclimate1597

This was one of the many examples of bad science misinterpreting the sea level oscillations by cherry picking the time window.

As 6 more years of data have been collected, let see if the hotspots are now the “hottest on record” or if they have cooled down.

The logic of Sallenger & co. was based on the comparison of the rate of rise of sea levels over the first and second half of time windows of 60, 50 and 40 years, i.e. the comparison of the rate of rise over the first and the last 30, 25 and…

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Arctic Ice Growing, No Surprises Dec. 15

Arctic sea ice stabilising over the past decade – Should be headline news and mass celebrations from climate alarmists who proclaimed the Arctic “Death Spiral”, but no, you won’t hear any cheers or any mention from catastrophists and the complicit alarmist media about the Arctics recovery and healthy state.

Funny that. I would have thought they’d be ecstatic. But alas, they prefer disaster scenarios to prove their anthropogenic CO2 causes catastrophic warning theory, and to maintain that all important  misanthropic bent.

Science Matters

Three weeks ago I reported that after 2007 Arctic ice extent was no longer declining, and that 2015 will add another year to that stabilization. With only half a month until year end, the recent MASIE measurements are showing the expected surplus of ice.

MASIE measurements show that 2007 ice extent was lower than any year since. It is now confirmed that 2015 average annual extent will exceed 2007 by at least 300,000 km2. That difference arises from comparing 2007 annual average of 10.414 M km2 with 2015 running average through day 349 of 10.717. In the 16 days remaining in 2015, we can expect the annual average to rise to about 10.774, or 360,000 km2 higher than 2007.

masie ann est

At this point in the annual cycle, it is possible to project the annual average for the calendar year. The daily average presently is well above the running average for the year, so the…

View original post 251 more words