SORRY ALARMISTS : The IPCC Once Again Reports Extreme Weather Events Have Not Increased
Posted: October 14, 2018 Filed under: Alarmism Debunked, Climate Bible, Climatism, COP24, Drought, Empirical Evidence, Extreme Weather, Floods, Govt Climate Agenda, Heat Wave, Hurricanes, State Of The Climate, Typhoons, UN | Tags: Australian Tropical Cyclones, Climate Change, Climate science, Climatism, COP24, Dr Roger Pielke Jr, drought, Extreme weather, floods, Global Warming, heat waves, Hurricanes, IPCC, science, SR15, Tornadoes, Tornados, UN IPCC Report, UNEP, UNFCCC 7 Comments
“The IPCC once again reports that there is little basis for claiming that drought, floods, hurricanes, tornadoes have increased, much less increased due to greenhouse gases.” – University of Colorado professor Roger Pielke, Jr
“Warming fears are the worst scientific scandal in the history. When people come to
know what the truth is, they will feel deceived by science and scientists.” – UN IPCC
Japanese Scientist Dr. Kiminori Itoh, an award-winning PhD environmental physical
chemist.
“I am no longer reading this garbage” – “Similar claims are on par with the spam about penis enlargement” – Former Harvard U. Physicist, Luboš Motl rejects new UN IPCC Report
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EXTREME WEATHER, the Climate Crisis Industries favoured weapon of mass hysteria has been scuttled, once again, by their very own authority, the UN IPCC!
THE latest report finding that there is “little basis or evidence” for claiming that drought, floods, hurricanes, tornadoes have increased due to greenhouse gases.
BUT, alas! Just as the extreme weather findings from last IPCC report – AR5 (2013) – were conveniently dismissed by the mainstream media and climate crusaders, so too will the latest ‘inconvenient’ findings from the SR15 ‘Special Report’.
FROM Chapter 4 of SREX (2013) :
- “There is medium evidence and high agreement that long-term trends in normalized losses have not been attributed to natural or anthropogenic climate change”
- “The statement about the absence of trends in impacts attributable to natural or anthropogenic climate change holds for tropical and extratropical storms and tornados”
- “The absence of an attributable climate change signal in losses also holds for flood losses”
Pielke Jr. Agrees – ‘Extreme weather to climate connection’ is a dead issue | Watts Up With That?
SEE also : No steel roof required: IPCC dials back the fear of extreme weather | Climatism
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IPCC REPORT SR15 – Extreme Weather Findings
UNIVERSITY of Colorado professor Roger Pielke Jr provides a good summary of the latest UN IPCC extreme weather findings via this twitter thread :
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EXTREME WEATHER DATA
DROUGHT
IN August 1934, when CO2 was at ‘safe’ levels, severe to extreme drought covered around 80% of the entire US. Such conditions endured for most of the decade known as the “Dust Bowl” era:
CURRENT U.S. drought conditions under Donald Trump’s reign of climate “denial” terror:
* Read the rest of this entry »
Study: a ‘statistically significant downward trend since 1950 exists’ in hurricane landfalls
Posted: December 10, 2017 Filed under: Alarmism Debunked, Alarmist media, Carbon Dioxide, Climate science, Dud predictions, Extreme Weather, Fact Check, Failed Climate Models | Tags: Climate Change, Climate science, Climatology, Cyclones, Dr Roger Pielke Jr, Extreme weather, Hurricanes, Inconvenient Truths Leave a commentMORE inconvenient climate “science”…
This is going to rattle some cages, while at the same time vindicating Dr. Roger Pielke Jr. A new study in Geophysical research Letters studies hurricane activity in the Atlantic concludes that a “statistically significant downward trend since 1950 exists”.
An Energetic Perspective on United States Tropical Cyclone Landfall Droughts
Authors Ryan E. Truchelut, Erica M. Staehling
Abstract
The extremely active 2017 Atlantic hurricane season concluded an extended period of quiescent continental United States tropical cyclone landfall activity that began in 2006, commonly referred to as the landfall drought. We introduce an extended climatology of U.S. tropical cyclone activity based on accumulated cyclone energy (ACE) and use this data set to investigate variability and trends in landfall activity. The drought years between 2006 and 2016 recorded an average value of total annual ACE over the U.S. that was less than 60% of the 1900–2017 average. Scaling this landfall activity metric by basin-wide activity…
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EXTREME WEATHER Expert: “World Is Presently In An Era Of Unusually Low Weather Disasters”
Posted: August 6, 2017 Filed under: Alarmism Debunked, Alarmist Predictions, Carbon Dioxide, Climate History, Extreme Weather, Fact Check, Hurricanes, Science, Typhoons | Tags: carbon dioxide emissions, Climate Change, Climate science, CO2, Dr Roger Pielke Jr, Extreme weather, Global Warming, Hurricanes, Tornadoes 4 CommentsCLIMATE sceptics have been consistently pointing to data rather than superstition, politics and emotion in order to examine the contentious relationship between human CO2 emissions and global warming climate change.
Climate alarmists will frequently default to the “extreme weather” narrative in order to deceptively promote the catastrophic anthropogenic global warming (CAGW) narrative by instilling fear, doom and gloom directly into the human psyche.
However, by most metrics, the data shows us that extreme weather events are becoming ‘less’ extreme as CO2 increases.
Professor Roger Pielke Jr. of the University of Colorado Boulder: “The world is presently in an era of unusually low weather disasters. This holds for the weather phenomena that have historically caused the most damage: tropical cyclones, floods, tornadoes and drought. Given how weather events have become politicized in debates over climate change, some find this hard to believe…
The US has seen a decrease of about 20% in both hurricane frequency and intensity at landfall since 1900…
Data on floods, drought and tornadoes are similar in that they show little to no indication of becoming more severe or frequent…
Thus, it is fair to conclude that the costs of disasters worldwide is depressed because, as the global economy has grown, disaster costs have not grown at the same rate. Thus, disaster costs as a proportion of GDP have decreased. One important reason for this is a lack of increase in the weather events that cause disasters, most notably, tropical cyclones worldwide and especially hurricanes in the United States.”
Why has this occurred? Is it good luck, climate change or something else?
A good place to start is with tropical cyclones, given that they are often the most costly weather events to occur each year. The figure below shows global tropical cyclone landfalls from 1990 through 2016. These are the storms that cause the overwhelming majority of property damage. Since 1990 there has been a reduction of about 3 landfalling storms per year (from ~17 to ~14), which certainly helps to explain why disaster losses are somewhat depressed.
Even more striking is the extended period in the United States, which has the most exposure to tropical cyclone damage, without the landfall of an intense hurricane. The figure below shows the number of days between each landfall of a Category 3+ hurricane in the US, starting in 1900. As of this writing the tally is approaching 4500 days, which is a streak of good fortune not seen in the historical record.
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See Also :
- The Great “Extreme Weather” Climate Change Propaganda Con | Climatism
- Despite NOAA denial, growing number of new studies confirm global warming hiatus | Climatism
Extreme Weather Is Not Getting Worse – Dr Roger Pielke Jr
Posted: August 24, 2016 Filed under: Alarmism Debunked, Alarmist media, Climate Alarmism, Climate Change, Climate History, Climate science, Drought, Empirical Evidence, Extreme Weather, Fact Check, Floods, Hurricanes | Tags: Alarmism debunked, Climate alarmism, Dr Roger Pielke Jr, Extreme weather, Fact Check, Facts, floods, Louisiana, USA 1 CommentDear climate change alarmist media, politicians and the warming faithful,
*Extreme weather is NOT getting worse*
The inconvenient data laid out here on one the favoured weapons of mass climate hysteria – “Extreme Weather”, by climate change disaster expert – Dr. Roger Pielke Jr., a Professor in the Environmental Studies Program at the University of Colorado…
“Floods suck when they occur. The good news is U.S. flood damage is sharply down over 70 years,”
In a message aimed at climate activists and many in the media, Pielke cautioned:
“Remember, disasters can happen any time and they suck. But it is also good to understand long-term trends based on data, not hype.”
Pielke also pointed to the hard scientific data that shows other types of extreme weather are *not getting worse and may in fact be improving*.
“Is U.S. drought getting worse? No,” Pielke wrote
Read on for more hard scientific data that completely contradicts warming alarmist dogma that your CO2 emissions cause “extreme weather”…
NB, the next time you view, read or hear your favoured media hyperventilating over an ‘Extreme Weather’ event, remember that there weren’t as many smart phones last century, and keep in mind the old saying “if it bleeds, it leads.”
By Paul Homewood
From Climate Depot:
Dr. Roger Pielke Jr., a Professor in the Environmental Studies Program at the University of Colorado and a Fellow of the Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences (CIRES), slammed the linkage of global warming to the recent Louisiana floods and other types of extreme weather. (See: Bill Nye: Climate change is reason for Louisiana floods)
Pielke authored the 2014 book “The Rightful Place of Science: Disasters and Climate Change.”
“Flood disasters are sharply down. U.S. floods not increasing either,” Pielke Jr. declared on August 23. Pielke rebuked New York Times columnist Paul Krugman for linking floods to climate change. Krugman blamed “climate change” for ‘a proliferation of disasters like the one in Louisiana.’
“How does Krugman get away with this?” Pielke asked while showcasing this scientific graph.
“Floods suck when they occur. The good news is U.S. flood damage…
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