Arctic “Death Spiral” update…
Ron Clutz writes at Climate Change Dispatch:
Arctic Sea Ice Surges Back During First Half of October
Consider the refreezing during the first half of October through yesterday, adding an average of 96k km2 per day. On the left side, the Laptev Sea has filled in, and just below it, the East Siberian Sea is also growing fast ice from the shore to meet refreezing drift ice.
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CONTRARY to popular myth, Arctic sea ice extent is not in a “death spiral“. In fact, there has been no real shrinking of Arctic sea ice in 10 years, which also corresponds to the fact that there has been no statistically significant “global warming” for nearly 20 years.
ALL this despite record “CO2” emissions over the same period, and record hot air bloviated by the trillion dollar climate crisis industry.
THE following is a remarkable post by Tony Heller from his Deplorable Climate Science Blog showing just how corrupt and politicised the “science” of the Arctic has become via the fake-news media and – sadly – from many our most respected scientific institutions including, yes, NASA…
More Spectacular Arctic Fraud At The New York Times
The New York Times just published another fake climate article – this time about the Arctic. They start the article with the claim that satellites were first used to study the Arctic in 1979.
Given that we traveled to the moon in 1969, it is absurd to suggest that satellites weren’t used to study the Arctic before 1979. Here is a 1964 satellite image of the Arctic which was published in National Geographic in 1965.
Here is a detailed National Geographic Arctic sea ice map from 1971.
Here is a detailed satellite image of Antarctica from 1976, also published in National Geographic.
The 1990 IPCC report included NOAA Arctic satellite data back to 1973, when it was much lower than 1979.
In a spectacular display of scientific malpractice, NOAA now hides all of the pre-1979 peak Arctic sea ice data. By starting right at the peak, they produce a fake linear downwards trend.
This 1985 DOE climate change report had Arctic data back to 1925, which showed little ice from the 1930s to the 1950s.
So why did the New York Times cherry pick 1979 as their start date? Because it came at the end of three of the coldest US winters on record , and Arctic sea ice was at a century peak. The graph below combines the 1985 DOE graph with the 1990 IPCC graph.
If the New York Times authors had bothered to research their own paper, they could have found this out for themselves. It was very warm in the Arctic in 1958
Three years later, the New York Times reported a unanimous consensus that earth was cooling.
By 1970, the Arctic climate was becoming more frigid, the ice was getting “ominously thicker” – and scientists were worried about a new ice age.
The polar ice cap had expanded 12% by 1975, after shrinking 12% before 1958. Icelandic ports were blocked with ice for the first time in the 20th century.
By hiding all the data before the 1979 peak, the New York Times is defrauding its readers. Arctic climate is cyclical – not linear.
Ninety-five years ago, the Arctic was having a meltdown.
Eighty years ago, the Arctic was having a meltdown.
Sixty five years ago, the Arctic was having a meltdown.
Then the New York Times went on to obscure their graph (below) to hide the fact that there has been a large increase in minimum extent since 2012. Note the “End of summer minimum” label is at the 2012 minimum – not the 2017 minimum.
The Arctic minimum extent has been increasing for a decade. The New York Times doesn’t want their readers to know this.
The New York Times is defrauding their readers at many levels. It is the fake news we have learned to expect from them.
See also :
- Arctic Full Of Multi-Year Ice | The Deplorable Climate Science Blog
- Astrology And Climate Science | The Deplorable Climate Science Blog
- Little Change In Arctic Sea Ice Since 1971 | The Deplorable Climate Science Blog
- 97% Of Climate “Experts” Promised You The Arctic Would Be Ice-Free By 2014 | Climatism
- 12 New Scientific Papers: Oceans Cooling Globally As Glaciers Thicken | Climatism
- Crooks Still Pursuing Arctic Ice Scam | NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT
- CLIMATE Alarmism Has Cost Far More Than Any Global Warming Ever Could | Climatism
The Other (Inconvenient) Pole :
- Antarctic Sea Ice Reaches New Record Maximum | NASA
- Record-low 2016 Antarctic sea ice was due to a ‘perfect storm’ of tropical, polar conditions – not ‘climate change’ | Climatism
Global Warming “Pause” Related :
97% Of Climate Scientists Got it Wrong About Effects Of Global Warming, related :
- The global warming backpedalling begins. “It’s less worse than we thought” | Climatism
- Delingpole: Climate Alarmists Finally Admit ‘We Were Wrong About Global Warming’
- How scientists got their global warming sums wrong — and created a £1,000,000,000,000-a-year green industry that bullied experts who dared to question the figures | The Sun UK
- Climate scientists admit they were wrong on climate change effects | Watts Up With That?
The pause within the pause.
By Paul Homewood
Contrary to popular myth, summer sea ice extent in the Arctic is not in a death spiral.
As the above DMI graph shows, August extent has been remarkably stable since 2007.
Back in March, the “experts” were telling us that the record low extent last winter would inevitably lead to lower summer extent.
For instance, Rick Thoman the climate science manager for the National Weather Service’s Alaska region told us:
“If we are starting out very low that gives a jump on the melt season. For the last few years, we have had extremely low ice cover in the summer. That means a lot more solar energy absorbed by the darker open water. That heat tends to carry over from year to year.”
NSIDC’s Ted Scambos said:
“Thin ice and beset by warm weather – not a good way to begin the melt season,”
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No real shrinking of Arctic sea ice in 10 years. No significant “global warming” for nearly 20 years.
All this despite record CO2 emissions and record alarmist hot air spewed from experts and the fake news mainstream media!
Mother Nature’s a beyatch!
By Paul Homewood
Greenland’s melt season ended a month ago, and since last September the ice sheet has grown at close to record rates.
Much was made of the anomalously warm year in 2012, which was quickly linked to climate change.
I doubt whether Guardian readers will be allowed to read about the latest news.
Meanwhile Arctic sea ice extent is running well above the level of the last two years:
This time last year the Guardian wheeled out the serially discredited Peter Wadhams to scare us all with threats of an Arctic death spiral:
The only thing in a death spiral is the IQ of gullible Guardian readers.
“2017 is running 280k km2 higher than 2007, 430k km2 above average, and 910k km2 more than 2016.”
Arctic sea-ice extent ‘growing’ despite record CO2 “emissions” and the “hottest years evah”?!
I blame Trump.
The Iceberg Festival takes place every June on the Great Northern Peninsula, Newfoundland, now underway.
Weather Canada Iceberg Bulletin
Issued 11:00 AM EDT 2 June 2017
Special ice warning in effect.
Bergy water except 7 tenths of first-year ice including a trace of
old ice in the northern section. Unusual presence of sea ice.
More than 100 icebergs
Arctic ice had a remarkable May. The April NH ice extent in April was a 343k km2 deficit below the decadal average, and May ended with a monthly average surplus of 131k km2. The graph below shows in recent weeks how 2017 took a lead of ~300k km2 above average and is holding it entering June.
On June 1, this year’s ice extent is running 280k km2 above average, and a full 1M higher than 2016. Out of the last twelve years, only…
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More inconvenient climate change (aka global warming) news…
Heavy ice is making it impossible for fishermen from the Twillingate area to get to their crab fishing grounds. It may not open up until mid-May. (Twitter/@jeddore1972) Source: CBC
The title of this post sounds contradictory to most of what the media is saying about Arctic ice being in a tailspin, setting records for low extents, etc. And reports of ice blocking Newfoundland also fly in the face of media claims.
I will let you in on a secret: Arctic Ocean ice is doing fine and well above the decadal average. The only place where ice is below normal is outside the Arctic Ocean, namely Bering and Okhotsk Seas in the Pacific. Claims of disappearing ice pertain not to the Arctic itself, but to marginal Pacific seas that will melt out anyway in September.
I noticed the pattern this April when it became obvious that including Bering and Okhotsk in…
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“Record” Arctic sea-ice recovery despite record CO2 emissions this Century and rising!
In fact a third of all Human CO2 emissions since 1750 have been emitted this Century, yet global temps have plateaued and the Arctic is currently tracking record recovery.
Time for a global-warming-theory check? It is, after all, still a “theory” with not a single peer-reviewed paper yet to link empirical evidence with the small amount of warming that has occurred since 1850 – about 0.8C, depending on which data-set is used.
Furthermore the slight warning that has occurred is arguably beneficial to human wellbeing and plant growth, as opposed to dangerous cooling. Far more lives are lost to cold weather than to warm.
As well, numerous studies, including from AGW alarmist government agencies NASA and the CSIRO have shown that rising CO2 emissions are “greening” the planet, which with great irony happens to be a very unwelcome message for the environmental movement.
CSIRO Censoring Their Own Climate Research:
So much for the “Ice-free Arctic by 2014”, “Arctic Death Spiral”, “Arctic Imminent Doom”, “Arctic Tipping Points” and other alarmist predictions spouted by climate scientists, government agencies and their sycophant media.
The Arctic is the ultimate ‘canary in the coal-mine’ for global warming alarmists, and it is currently recovering at record pace, despite record CO2 emissions.
Cue “Global Warming Is Causing Record Arctic Ice Growth”! But don’t laugh, climate alarmists have already used that one to explain the undisputed *record* ice expansion and cooling of Antarctica 🇦🇶!
By Paul Homewood
Arctic sea ice continues to grow back at a phenomenal rate. Since the start of the month, growth has comfortable exceeded anything on record since daily figures began in 1987.
Ice has expanded by 0.896 million sq km, compared to the 1981-2010 average of 0.237 million sq km.
According to NSIDC, ice extent now stands at the fourth highest for this day in the last 10 years.
DMI actually show ice extent to be higher than NSIDC, roughly equal to 2013 and 2014, which raises questions in itself.
DMI now estimate that the average extent for the month will be greater than, or on a par with, most of the last ten years. Only 2013 and 2014 are much greater.
It is clear that September ice extent has remained extremely stable since 2007, regardless of what happened before.