“2017 is running 280k km2 higher than 2007, 430k km2 above average, and 910k km2 more than 2016.”
Arctic sea-ice extent ‘growing’ despite record CO2 “emissions” and the “hottest years evah”?!
I blame Trump.
The Iceberg Festival takes place every June on the Great Northern Peninsula, Newfoundland, now underway.
Weather Canada Iceberg Bulletin
Issued 11:00 AM EDT 2 June 2017
Special ice warning in effect.
Bergy water except 7 tenths of first-year ice including a trace of
old ice in the northern section. Unusual presence of sea ice.
More than 100 icebergs
Arctic ice had a remarkable May. The April NH ice extent in April was a 343k km2 deficit below the decadal average, and May ended with a monthly average surplus of 131k km2. The graph below shows in recent weeks how 2017 took a lead of ~300k km2 above average and is holding it entering June.
On June 1, this year’s ice extent is running 280k km2 above average, and a full 1M higher than 2016. Out of the last twelve years, only…
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More inconvenient climate change (aka global warming) news…
Heavy ice is making it impossible for fishermen from the Twillingate area to get to their crab fishing grounds. It may not open up until mid-May. (Twitter/@jeddore1972) Source: CBC
The title of this post sounds contradictory to most of what the media is saying about Arctic ice being in a tailspin, setting records for low extents, etc. And reports of ice blocking Newfoundland also fly in the face of media claims.
I will let you in on a secret: Arctic Ocean ice is doing fine and well above the decadal average. The only place where ice is below normal is outside the Arctic Ocean, namely Bering and Okhotsk Seas in the Pacific. Claims of disappearing ice pertain not to the Arctic itself, but to marginal Pacific seas that will melt out anyway in September.
I noticed the pattern this April when it became obvious that including Bering and Okhotsk in…
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“Record” Arctic sea-ice recovery despite record CO2 emissions this Century and rising!
In fact a third of all Human CO2 emissions since 1750 have been emitted this Century, yet global temps have plateaued and the Arctic is currently tracking record recovery.
Time for a global-warming-theory check? It is, after all, still a “theory” with not a single peer-reviewed paper yet to link empirical evidence with the small amount of warming that has occurred since 1850 – about 0.8C, depending on which data-set is used.
Furthermore the slight warning that has occurred is arguably beneficial to human wellbeing and plant growth, as opposed to dangerous cooling. Far more lives are lost to cold weather than to warm.
As well, numerous studies, including from AGW alarmist government agencies NASA and the CSIRO have shown that rising CO2 emissions are “greening” the planet, which with great irony happens to be a very unwelcome message for the environmental movement.
CSIRO Censoring Their Own Climate Research:
So much for the “Ice-free Arctic by 2014”, “Arctic Death Spiral”, “Arctic Imminent Doom”, “Arctic Tipping Points” and other alarmist predictions spouted by climate scientists, government agencies and their sycophant media.
The Arctic is the ultimate ‘canary in the coal-mine’ for global warming alarmists, and it is currently recovering at record pace, despite record CO2 emissions.
Cue “Global Warming Is Causing Record Arctic Ice Growth”! But don’t laugh, climate alarmists have already used that one to explain the undisputed *record* ice expansion and cooling of Antarctica 🇦🇶!
By Paul Homewood
Arctic sea ice continues to grow back at a phenomenal rate. Since the start of the month, growth has comfortable exceeded anything on record since daily figures began in 1987.
Ice has expanded by 0.896 million sq km, compared to the 1981-2010 average of 0.237 million sq km.
According to NSIDC, ice extent now stands at the fourth highest for this day in the last 10 years.
DMI actually show ice extent to be higher than NSIDC, roughly equal to 2013 and 2014, which raises questions in itself.
DMI now estimate that the average extent for the month will be greater than, or on a par with, most of the last ten years. Only 2013 and 2014 are much greater.
It is clear that September ice extent has remained extremely stable since 2007, regardless of what happened before.
Ouch. Another failed climate prediction.
And yet another reason not to believe the favoured climate meme used by global warming alarmists to shut down debate – “the science is settled”…
History Keeps Proving Prophets Of Eco-Apocalypse Wrong
Since hitting its earliest minimum extent since 1997, Arctic sea ice has been expanding at a phenomenal rate. Already it is greater than at the same date in 2007, 2008, 2010, 2011, 2012 and 2015. Put another way, it is the fourth highest extent in the last ten years. Even more remarkably, ice growth since the start of the month is actually the greatest on record, since daily figures started to be kept in 1987. –Paul Homewood, Not A Lot Of People Know That, 25 September 2016
One of the world’s leading ice experts has predicted the final collapse of Arctic sea ice in summer months within four years. In what he calls a “global disaster” now unfolding in northern latitudes as the sea area that freezes and melts each year shrinks to its lowest extent ever recorded…
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That “Ice-Free Arctic” we were promised, on ice for yet another year… ❄️
I almost called this yesterday, but I needed more data to be sure. All of the data I’ve looked at agrees, Arctic sea ice is now on the upswing, and in a big way.
Here is the plot from NSIDC:
This graph from Wipneus shows the abruptness of the change:
And the physics of ice is also a dead giveaway. Here, the Arctic temperature shows a dramatic upswing.
This is why: when water freezes it releases its specific latent heat.
The specific latent heat is the amount of energy required to convert 1 kg (or 1 lb) of a substance from solid to liquid (or vice-versa) without a change in the temperature of the surroundings — all absorbed energy goes into the phase change — is known as the specific latent heat of fusion.
For water, that’s about 334 KiloJoules of energy per kilogram.
Added: Note that in the…
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Greenland gains 500 Gigatons of ice since September, has one “warm” day, so New Scientist and NOAA go into climate change “death spiral” mode !
By Paul Homewood
h/t Malcolm Bell
Malcolm drew my attention to this article in New Scientist:
After record low amounts of sea ice across the Arctic Ocean last winter, spring has begun with an unprecedented early melt of land ice on Greenland.
Temperatures soaring above 10 °C caused more than a tenth of the island’s vast ice sheet to start melting on Monday and Tuesday this week, says Ruth Mottram of the Danish Meteorological Institute in Copenhagen.
Previously, the earliest melting recorded over more than a tenth of Greenland was on 5 May 2010, Mottram said. Normally, significant melting does not begin there until at least mid-May.
The melt was driven primarily by weather fronts bringing warm air and heavy rain from the Atlantic Ocean to the south of the island, she says.
Meteorological records dating back to 1873 show temperatures this week are a record high for the…
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Global Warming alarmists media and activist groups; BBC, Sierra Club, National Geographic, Al Gore assured us that the Arctic would be ice-free by now.
You were lied to and Arctic sea ice is doing just fine:
Leonardo DiCaprio and those same alarmist media outlets and activist groups also preach the dire fate of the cuddly Polar Bear to push their man-made global warming agenda. This is also a lie.
Arctic sea ice and those cuddly polar bears are doing just fine.
“Polar bears consume 2/3 of all the food they need for the year during April-June and so far, ice conditions are looking just fine.”
So, here we are near the end of the first month of the Arctic spring and there is still more ice than usual off Labrador and conditions in the Barents Sea are improving daily. The fear-mongers can blather all they like about the potential risks of bears swimming in summer – but spring is the critical seasonas far as sea ice is concerned for polar bears and all polar bear biologists know it. Polar bears consume 2/3 of all the food they need for the year during April-June and so far, ice conditions are looking just fine.
There is enough ice where there needs to be ice for polar bears to gorge themselves on new-born ringed and bearded seals – and that’s really all that matters. More ice off Labrador means more hunting ground for the Davis Strait polar bears that depend on the tens of thousands of young…
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