Posted: August 22, 2018 Filed under: Alarmism, Alarmism Debunked, Alarmism uncovered, Arctic, Climatism, Fact Check | Tags: Alarmism, arctic, Climate Change, Climate Change Alarmism, Climatism, death spiral, Global Warming, North Pole, pseudoscience, Science and Environment, Sea Ice, Summer Sea Ice
AUGUST is peak melt season for Arctic sea-ice. It’s also peak season for Arctic alarmists to scream and yell for an “ICE-FREE” Arctic.
HOWEVER, for the entire 21st Century, their cries, smears and slimes at “deniers” and Mother Nature have added up to nothing more than loud voices of a minority, with the usual and telling absence of empirical evidence or scientific reality.
THE attached fifteen second animation of all August months available via DMI, from 2003 – 2018, confirms the lies and falsehoods about the state of the Arctic that “Death Spiral” alarmists bleat about.
JUDGE for yourself if Arctic sea-ice is in a “Death Spiral” as a result of ‘evil’ human carbon dioxide emissions…
••• Read the rest of this entry »
Posted: September 25, 2017 Filed under: Alarmism Debunked, Alarmist media, Arctic, Carbon Dioxide, Climate Fraud, Climate History, Climate science, Climatism, Empirical Evidence, Fact Check, Global Sea Ice | Tags: Alarmist Media, arctic, arctic death spiral, Arctic Sea Ice, Climate Change, Climate Change Scam, Fake News, Global Warming Scam, New York Times, Sea Ice
More scientific evidence that polar bears are doing just fine – a 30% increase in population with some of them “as fat as pigs.”
CONTRARY to popular myth, Arctic sea ice extent is not in a “death spiral“. In fact, there has been no real shrinking of Arctic sea ice in 10 years, which also corresponds to the fact that there has been no statistically significant “global warming” for nearly 20 years.
ALL this despite record “CO2” emissions over the same period, and record hot air bloviated by the trillion dollar climate crisis industry.
THE following is a remarkable post by Tony Heller from his Deplorable Climate Science Blog showing just how corrupt and politicised the “science” of the Arctic has become via the fake-news media and – sadly – from many our most respected scientific institutions including, yes, NASA…
More Spectacular Arctic Fraud At The New York Times
The New York Times just published another fake climate article – this time about the Arctic. They start the article with the claim that satellites were first used to study the Arctic in 1979.
Given that we traveled to the moon in 1969, it is absurd to suggest that satellites weren’t used to study the Arctic before 1979. Here is a 1964 satellite image of the Arctic which was published in National Geographic in 1965.
Here is a detailed National Geographic Arctic sea ice map from 1971.
Here is a detailed satellite image of Antarctica from 1976, also published in National Geographic.
The 1990 IPCC report included NOAA Arctic satellite data back to 1973, when it was much lower than 1979.
In a spectacular display of scientific malpractice, NOAA now hides all of the pre-1979 peak Arctic sea ice data. By starting right at the peak, they produce a fake linear downwards trend.
This 1985 DOE climate change report had Arctic data back to 1925, which showed little ice from the 1930s to the 1950s.
So why did the New York Times cherry pick 1979 as their start date? Because it came at the end of three of the coldest US winters on record , and Arctic sea ice was at a century peak. The graph below combines the 1985 DOE graph with the 1990 IPCC graph.
If the New York Times authors had bothered to research their own paper, they could have found this out for themselves. It was very warm in the Arctic in 1958
Three years later, the New York Times reported a unanimous consensus that earth was cooling.
By 1970, the Arctic climate was becoming more frigid, the ice was getting “ominously thicker” – and scientists were worried about a new ice age.
The polar ice cap had expanded 12% by 1975, after shrinking 12% before 1958. Icelandic ports were blocked with ice for the first time in the 20th century.
By hiding all the data before the 1979 peak, the New York Times is defrauding its readers. Arctic climate is cyclical – not linear.
Ninety-five years ago, the Arctic was having a meltdown.
Eighty years ago, the Arctic was having a meltdown.
Sixty five years ago, the Arctic was having a meltdown.
Then the New York Times went on to obscure their graph (below) to hide the fact that there has been a large increase in minimum extent since 2012. Note the “End of summer minimum” label is at the 2012 minimum – not the 2017 minimum.
The Arctic minimum extent has been increasing for a decade. The New York Times doesn’t want their readers to know this.
The New York Times is defrauding their readers at many levels. It is the fake news we have learned to expect from them.
More Spectacular Arctic Fraud At The New York Times | The Deplorable Climate Science Blog
See also :
The Other (Inconvenient) Pole :
Global Warming “Pause” Related :
97% Of Climate Scientists Got it Wrong About Effects Of Global Warming, related :
Posted: August 8, 2013 Filed under: Alarmism, Arctic, Climate, Climatism, Global Cooling | Tags: Alarmism, arctic, arctic death spiral, arctic ice scam, Arctic Ocean, Climate Change, David Barber, global cooling, National Geographic, NSIDC, Sierra Club Canada
“It doesn’t matter what is true,
it only matters what people believe is true.”
– Paul Watson,
co-founder of Greenpeace
According the top US scientists the Arctic should be ‘ice-free’ in a few weeks:
Professor Paul Wedhams delays an ‘ice-free’ Arctic by two years:
“Given present trends in extent and thickness, the ice in September will be gone in a very short while, perhaps by 2015.”
‘Arctic is Rotten and decayed and will all melt soon’
Via Real Science:
David Barber says that the little remaining ice in the Arctic is rotten and decayed and will all melt soon. (He has been saying that for every year I can remember.)
Paul Beckwith of Sierra Club Canada still thinks “Arctic sea ice will vanish” in a few weeks:
National Geographic laments:
“Arctic Ice in ‘Death Spiral” with additional heating due to global warming, the extent of sea ice cover has gotten smaller and smaller over the summers since the 1980s.
Look forward to Nat Geo’s Arctic ice Death Spiral, rotten decaying, ice-free arctic 2013 update: “We’ve got no idea what we’re talking about. However human’s are still to blame, the problem of global warming will
hopefully not go away.”
From Real Science:
Reader Brian D sent over this 1971 National Geographic map, which shows that there is a lot more Arctic sea ice now than there was 42 years ago.
Arctic Ocean Map 1971 by National Geographic from Maps.com.
I remember seeing that map at the time. The next map overlays current ice extent on the 1971 map, with green representing ice present in 2013 that was not present in 1971, and red representing the opposite.
NSIDC likes to pretend that ice has been declining steadily, by starting their graphs near the century maximum in 1978.
But sadly for them, the 1990 IPCC report captured the growth in ice prior to 1979.
NCAR mentioned the ice growth at the time
by Walter Orr Roberts Aspen Institute for Humanistic Studies, andNational Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado
In February of 1972 earth-orbiting artificial satellites revealed the existence of a greatly increased area of the snow and ice cover of the north polar cap as compared to all previous years of space age observations.
As did the CIA
CIA Report 1974
Is Mark Serreze hiding the incline of Arctic ice since 1971?
2013 ARCTIC STATS:
- 2013: According to Environment Canada, the Western Arctic has the 3rd highest July ice coverage in history:
- Beaufort Sea ice area currently above normal:
- Arctic sea-ice extent highest for the date since 2005:
- 2013 the coldest summer on record in the Arctic:
Our leading diplomats, scientists and environmental organizations have promised that the remaining 155,000 Manhattans of Arctic sea ice are going to melt in the next week or two. The graph below updates the most likely death spiral trajectory.
Cheers, Steven Goddard Real Science
Posted: July 28, 2013 Filed under: Alarmism, Arctic, Climatism | Tags: Alarmism, arctic, climate, Climate Central, North Pole, North Pole Lake
Climate Central with the Arctic global warming smoking gun:
The pictures are dramatic — a camera at the North Pole Environmental Observatory, sitting in the middle of what appears to be either a lake or open ocean, at the height of the summer sea ice melt season. Set against the backdrop of the precipitous decline in sea ice cover in recent decades due in large part to global warming, this would seem to be yet another alarming sign of Arctic climate change.
Image from one of the North Pole Environmental Observatory webcams, taken on Thursday, July 25.
Credit: NSF’s North Pole Environmental Observatory.
The Arctic has surface melt every summer and Climate Central’s alarmists weren’t sure if the ice buoy was located at the North Pole or a few hundred miles away:
Image: Galileo Movement
This is what the North Pole looked like in 1958 – 1959:
Skate (SSN-578), surfaced at the North Pole, 17 March 1959. Image from NAVSOURCE
Ice at the North Pole not so thick ~ Watts Up With That?
What would NSIDC and our media make of a photo like this if released by the NAVY today? Would we see headlines like “NORTH POLE NOW OPEN WATER”? Or maybe “Global warming melts North Pole”? Perhaps we would. sensationalism is all the rage these days. If it melts it makes headlines.
It was that way again in 1962:
Seadragon (SSN-584), foreground, and her sister Skate (SSN-578) during a rendezvous at the North Pole in August 1962
And of course then there’s this famous photo:
But contrast that to 1999, just 12 years later, lots of ice:
USS Hawkbill at the North Pole, Spring 1999. (US Navy Photo)
But in 1993, it’s back to thin ice again:
USS Pargo at the North Pole in 1993. (US Navy Photo)
The North Pole is not static, ice varies significantly. The Arctic is not static either. Variance is the norm.
UPDATE: Arctic Swimming Hole Gone
UPDATE via wattsupwiththat:
From the University of Washington: Santa’s workshop not flooded – but lots of melting in the ArcticBy Hannah Hickey
Santa’s workshop at the North Pole is not under water, despite recent reports. A dramatic image captured by a University of Washington monitoring buoy reportedly shows a lake at the North Pole. But Santa doesn’t yet need to buy a snorkel.
“Every summer when the sun melts the surface the water has to go someplace, so it accumulates in these ponds,” said Jamie Morison, a polar scientist at the UW Applied Physics Laboratory and principal investigator since 2000 of the North Pole Environmental Observatory. “This doesn’t look particularly extreme.”
NSF North Pole Environmental Observatory The view from webcam 2 on July 26 shows open water on the ice.
After media coverage in CBS News, The Atlantic and the U.K.’s Daily Mail, Morison returned from overseas travel late last week to a pile of media inquiries. Over the weekend the team posted anexplanatory page on the project website. Keep Reading »
Remember this Associated Press before and after image that purportedly showed the North Pole turning into a lake due to “global warming”?
This was the day Brad Johnson of “Forecast the Facts” (a political group affiliated with the Center for American Progress and paid to harass TV weathercasters and meteorologists who don’t share their melting world view) made himself look like the complete idiot we know him to be. Observe the propaganda they sent around:
Note that WUWT published on why this imagery has no scientific merit, and the principal scientist issued a statement saying that it wasn’t anything out of the ordinary.
Even AP saw they’d screwed up and issued a retraction:
Title : ELIMINATION North Pole Lake
Caption : EDITORS, PHOTO EDITORS, AND PHOTO LIBRARIANS – PLEASE ELIMINATE AP PHOTO NY109 THAT WAS SENT ON SATURDAY, JULY 27, 2013. THE CAPTION INACCURATELY STATED THAT ‘THE SHALLOW MELTWATER LAKE IS OCCURRING DUE TO AN UNUSUALLY WARM PERIOD.’ IN FACT, THE WATER ACCUMULATES IN THIS WAY EVERY SUMMER. IN ADDITION, THE IMAGES DO NOT NECESSARILY SHOW CONDITIONS AT THE NORTH POLE, BECAUSE THE WEATHER BUOY CARRYING THE CAMERA USED BY THE NORTH POLE ENVIRONMENTAL OBSERVATORY HAS DRIFTED HUNDREDS OF MILES FROM ITS ORIGINAL POSITION, WHICH WAS A FEW DOZEN MILES FROM THE POLE- This frame grab provided by NOAA shows images from the wide-angle camera trained on a weather buoy maintained by the North Pole Environmental Observatory at the North Pole. The top image is a June 7, 2013 frame grab. The bottom image is a July 25, 2013 frame grab. (AP Photo/NOAA)
Will Brad Johnson and “Forecast the Facts” issue a retraction? Doubtful, because to do so would highlight their own stupidity disguised as paid agenda.
h/t to Brendan
Posted: July 22, 2013 Filed under: Arctic, Climatism | Tags: arctic, Climate Change, Global Warming, IPCC, Obama, White House
“A massive campaign must be launched to de-develop the United States. De-development means bringing our economic system into line with the realities of ecology and the world resource situation.”
– Paul Ehrlich, Professor of Population Studies.
In May, the Obama White House was warned on imminent Arctic ice death spiral.
The Guardian reports:
National security officials worried by rapid loss of Arctic summer sea ice overlook threat of permanent global food shortages.
Senior US government officials are to be briefed at the White House this week on the danger of an ice-free Arctic in the summer within two years.
The UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) projected in 2007:
“The Arctic situation is snowballing: dangerous changes in the Arctic derived from accumulated anthropogenic green house gases lead to more activities conducive to further greenhouse gas emissions. This situation has the momentum of a runaway train.“
The repercussions for humanity are alarming according to Government officials:
US officials are increasingly concerned about the international and domestic security implications of climate change.
“..profound shifts may be increasing the likelihood of more persistent and extreme weather.”
Department of Defense (DoD) Climate Change Adaptation Roadmap warns global warming will have:
“… significant geopolitical impacts around the world, contributing to greater competition for more limited and critical life-sustaining resources like food and water.”
“..World food production can be expected to decline, with mass starvation inevitable. The price of food will rise inexorably, producing global unrest and making food security even more of an issue.”
“Act as accelerants of instability or conflict in parts of the world… [and] may also lead to increased demands for defense support to civil authorities for humanitarian assistance or disaster response, both within the United States and overseas..”
The Arctic ice ‘death spiral’ is so dire, regional military penetration must be mobilised in order for the US to protect its resource interests:
“Melting sea ice in the Arctic may lead to new opportunities for shipping, tourism, and resource exploration, but the increase in human activity may require a significant increase in operational capabilities in the region in order to safeguard lawful trade and travel and to prevent exploitation of new routes for smuggling and trafficking.”
Climatologist, author and former NASA scientist Dr Roy Spencer provides an evidence-based account of the unprecedented and dramatic Arctic ice death spiral…
Who Dares to Deny Arctic Warming?
June 17th, 2013 by Roy W. Spencer, Ph. D.
A polar bear which collapsed from heat exhaustion before it could be shot.
I have in my possession a copy of one of the most authoritative books ever written on Arctic sea ice, including a section on the warming of the Arctic. It is written by one of the pioneering researchers in Arctic sea ice, N.N Zubov, a Russian, who spent his career studying the Arctic region.
His observations of warming in the Arctic, which he described as not localized, but universal, are taken from his book entitled Arctic Ice. I have excerpted several pertinent passages, which I’m sure will convince you that warming of the Arctic can scarcely be denied:
Along with the fluctuations in ice abundance in each individual sea from year to year, in late years a most interesting phenomenon has been observed – a warming of the Arctic, as evidence by a gradual and universal decrease in ice abundance. The main evidence of this general warming of the Arctic are:
1. Receding of glaciers and “melting away” of islands….all the Greenland glaciers which descend into Northeast Bay and Disko Bay have been receding since approximately the beginning of the century. On Franz Joseph Land during recent years several islands have appeared as if broken in two. It turned out they had been connected up to that time by ice bridges. …I noted a great decrease in the size of (Jan Mayan and Spitzbergen) glaciers. Ahlman terms the rapid receding of the Spitzbergen glaciers “catastrophic”.
2. Rise of air temperature. (Over the last 20 years) the average temperature of the winter months has steadily increased…(in the last 10 years) in the whole Arctic sector from Greenland to Cape Chelyuskin there has not been a single (negative) anomaly of average annual and monthly winter temperatures, while the positive anomalies have been very high….
3. Rise in temperature of Atlantic water which enters the Arctic Basin…the temperature of surface water and of Gulf Stream water has steadily risen…
4. Decrease in ice abundance….15% to 20% (over 20 years)….In earlier times, polar ice often approached the shores of Iceland and interfered with fishing and navigation. For the past 25 years ice has not appeared in significant quantities.
5. Increase in speed of drift ice.
6. Change in cyclone routes. There is no doubt that the increase in air temperatures, increase in Atlantic water temperatures, intensification of ice drift, etc., are closely connected with an intensification of atmospheric circulation, and in particular with a change in cyclonic activity at high latitudes. Vize shows that Atlantic cyclones are now shifting considerably north, by several hundred km, from their courses in the period before the warming of the Arctic.
7. Biological signs of warming of the Arctic. …fish have ranged further and further to the north…cod in large quantities have appeared along the shores of Spitzbergen and Novaya Zemlya…also mackerel, dolphin where formerly were not found…during recent years fishing has gradually shifted into the Arctic waters, and this unquestionably must be ascribed in considerable degree to the warming of these waters….many heat-loving bottom organisms are now found in regions these organisms were not found (30 years ago). Knipovich says: “ In a matter of fifteen years…there occurred a change…such as is usually associated with long geological intervals”.
8. Ship navigation. …a number of ship voyages (were made) which could hardly have been accomplished in the preceding cold period.
Still more remarkable is the fact that the warming of the Arctic is not confined to any particular region.
I find these observations to be quite compelling evidence that warming of the Arctic is indeed unprecedented. Who would dare deny it? Clearly, we must do something about our carbon dioxide emissions!!
NOTE: Oh, silly me. This book was written in the late 1930′s. Nevermind.
Russian Professor and Doctor of geographical sciences N.N. Zubov died in 1960. His book “ARCTIC ICE” was published in 1963 and was written in the late 1930′s, well before human carbon dioxide emissions could have had any discernible effect on arctic or global climate change. Any such anthropogenic effect on climate is attributed to the post world war 2 industrial boom (1945 to present) where human CO² emissions increased rapidly. Paradoxically, from 1945-1978 the globe underwent a period of global cooling despite the dramatic rise in green-house gas emissions.
From Zubov’s empirical evidence and observations it appears dramatic short-term regional and global climatic changes can and do occur irrespective of atmospheric CO² concentration.
Over the past 15 years, the earth’s atmosphere has undergone a similar temperature stasis, despite human CO² soaring over the same period. The current lack of any significant global warming since 1998 has the scientific community baffled and casts doubt on the accuracy of all 73 IPCC CMIP5 climate models, none of which predicted the current warming stasis.
The gap between modelled and observed global temperatures expose serious flaws in the climate models and their ability to credibly direct any rational climate policy measures such as Carbon Taxes, Emission trading schemes and alternative energies.
IPCC hadCRUT dataset showing a global cooling trend since 2002 of -0.87°C/century, despite soaring CO² emissions.
Despite the current 15 year temperature stasis and even slight, though statistically insignificant, global cooling over the past 11 years, climate doomsayers will continue to ratchet up the alarmist fear mongering campaign. Their goal, to bring about sweeping energy reforms and emissions control policies that will ultimately threaten economic development. Such draconian measures are already effecting economic competitiveness, jobs, social development and especially societies most vulnerable and poor with no discernible reduction to global emissions envisaged.
PAIN A LOT WORSE THAN ANY GAIN
Benny Peiser, special to Financial Post, comments on Europe’s 20 year green central planning ideology of ‘limits to growth’ that has turned into a self-fulfilling prophecy in ‘The EU Green Hell’
ARCTIC CONDITIONS TODAY
Arctic sea ice continues to recover from 2012 lows to above average levels in 2013.
• Beaufort Sea ice area currently above normal.
• According to Environmental Canada the Western Arctic has the third highest July ice coverage in history.
Imminent Arctic ice death spiral alarmism will continue unabated. However the science, empirical evidence and observations will always trump emotional, agenda driven politics visible from eco-facist NGO’s and socialist Governments alike who practice Anthropogenic Global Alarmism.
For more peer-review and empirical data on current Antarctic & Arctic ice conditions, contradicting alarmist fear-mongering of ‘imminent’ polar doom, see “Scientist Predicts Disastrous Sea-Level Rise And Ice Sheets To Collapse”