EXTREME WEATHER Expert: “World Is Presently In An Era Of Unusually Low Weather Disasters”Posted: August 6, 2017 Filed under: Alarmism Debunked, Alarmist Predictions, Carbon Dioxide, Climate History, Extreme Weather, Fact Check, Hurricanes, Science, Typhoons | Tags: carbon dioxide emissions, Climate Change, Climate science, CO2, Dr Roger Pielke Jr, Extreme weather, Global Warming, Hurricanes, Tornadoes 4 Comments
CLIMATE sceptics have been consistently pointing to data rather than superstition, politics and emotion in order to examine the contentious relationship between human CO2 emissions and
global warming climate change.
Climate alarmists will frequently default to the “extreme weather” narrative in order to deceptively promote the catastrophic anthropogenic global warming (CAGW) narrative by instilling fear, doom and gloom directly into the human psyche.
However, by most metrics, the data shows us that extreme weather events are becoming ‘less’ extreme as CO2 increases.
Professor Roger Pielke Jr. of the University of Colorado Boulder: “The world is presently in an era of unusually low weather disasters. This holds for the weather phenomena that have historically caused the most damage: tropical cyclones, floods, tornadoes and drought. Given how weather events have become politicized in debates over climate change, some find this hard to believe…
The US has seen a decrease of about 20% in both hurricane frequency and intensity at landfall since 1900…
Data on floods, drought and tornadoes are similar in that they show little to no indication of becoming more severe or frequent…
Thus, it is fair to conclude that the costs of disasters worldwide is depressed because, as the global economy has grown, disaster costs have not grown at the same rate. Thus, disaster costs as a proportion of GDP have decreased. One important reason for this is a lack of increase in the weather events that cause disasters, most notably, tropical cyclones worldwide and especially hurricanes in the United States.”
Why has this occurred? Is it good luck, climate change or something else?
A good place to start is with tropical cyclones, given that they are often the most costly weather events to occur each year. The figure below shows global tropical cyclone landfalls from 1990 through 2016. These are the storms that cause the overwhelming majority of property damage. Since 1990 there has been a reduction of about 3 landfalling storms per year (from ~17 to ~14), which certainly helps to explain why disaster losses are somewhat depressed.
Even more striking is the extended period in the United States, which has the most exposure to tropical cyclone damage, without the landfall of an intense hurricane. The figure below shows the number of days between each landfall of a Category 3+ hurricane in the US, starting in 1900. As of this writing the tally is approaching 4500 days, which is a streak of good fortune not seen in the historical record.
See Also :
- The Great “Extreme Weather” Climate Change Propaganda Con | Climatism
- Despite NOAA denial, growing number of new studies confirm global warming hiatus | Climatism
No trends in tropical cyclone activity
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